40/70 Benchmark

Be honest about one thing...what would you be saying to folks like @MJO812at this point in the season if cold had been largely relegated to the long term charts Not to say that it won't warm up, because it will.

-9.6

Much lower confidence than 2023 and 2018...I was sure of those ones.

I think regardless of ENSO, there is reason for optimism next season.

That looks more Miller B, to me.

I had 19" on Jan 7 last year.

Last year, and not close....I had much more snow last year.

-4.7

3.4/0

+5" 10.5" seasonal

Pretty good forecast... B https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/01/snowfall-forecast-for-quick-hitting.html

Snowfall Forecast for Quick Hitting Sunday Night Snows Largely Successful Minor Forecast Discrepancies Here is the Final Call for last night's fast moving winter storm (right) versus what actually transpired (left) in terms of total snowfall accumulations. While the forecast overall was fairly representative, the most persistent banding ended up being over the Berkshires into southern Vermont, as opposed to northern Worcester country into southern New Hampshire. Additionally, slightly less snowfall fell versus the expectation over the eastern half of the region due to the slower arrival of the colder air relative to modeling, thus 4-7" would have been more appropriate versus the 5-8" range that was utilized. Final Grade: B

One thing I have noticed about you is that you are prone to losing sight of the forest through the trees.

The eastward position of the trough certainly doesn't help.

Right, but it can't be ignored, either.

The 5-8 range incorporates that...I'm satisfied with it.

5" Final...that decaying deform band coming through added 1.5" after 2am, so I limped to the low end of my forecast range.

Deformation snows just arrived here....hopefully get another inch. Off to bed...

Except that season actually snowed in New England....nothing like it in terms of snowfall.

We are usually comparable, but you are trouncing me this season.

I'm at 9" on the season right now....need another inch. I'd say 50/50.

3.5" Probably crawl up to 4" with that band to the west.

2.5" as of 11pm 28.2 S

Finally pouring snow.