40/70 Benchmark

What did I miss?

Absolutely.

Maybe it will suck ...I just don't see an exotically warm month in the mean.

Again....above average or warm is one thing, implying exotic departures is another....and THAT is what I disagree with. Just take the L, dude.

I don't see how we end up with exotically warm monthly departures with an ample cold supply so near by, which has not been the case in other recent seasons. Scott is frustrated and allowing that to amplify the recency bias.

I originally responded to the sentiment that you have already admitted was not serious....outdoor seating INVO VD Day....not an above average look in general. Stop moving the goalposts in an effort to conceal the fact that you need a break.

This is not the last few months of February...doesn't mean that it will be great, or even particularly enjoyable, but it is what it is.

Then why did you tell me to look at a model when I called you out on it??

Yes, exactly.

Feb 2015, no.....but its not going to be 2018, either.

You're a clown.

850 does not always translate to the surface for one...its also just a snapshot.

Yea, not sure what Scooter is talking about with the picnic weather vibe

I could see it.

+2.5" 13" total

Well, if we are correct about February, then 2/3 of the winter will have featured above average QPF. I envision light to moderate, mixed QPF events about every 3-5 days this month.....SWF will be the name of the game-

Yea, doesn't necessarily mean above normal snowfall....though my hunch is it's better than December and January for a lot of us (not saying much).

Complete agreement.

I don't see February as a dry month....will be a matter of where the gradient ends up for more often than not.

Strong Forecast for Wednesday AM Light Snows The forecast from this morning verified very well overall, with just some minor discrepancies. The heaviest amounts of 3"+ were slightly east of forecast over the northern Berkshires and southern Vermont, and the 1-2" area extended slightly further south than it should have over western Massachusetts. Final Grade: A

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/01/strong-forecast-for-wednesday-am-light.html A

I. Want. Out.

2.5"

Final Call for early Wednesday AM Light Snows No Changes to the Forecast Synoptic Overview: The forecast rationale from First Call on Saturday is unchanged. A fast moving, modest parcel of northern stream energy will move through central New England during the predawn hours of Wednesday morning. This track is indeed most similar to the scenario modeled by European guidance last weekend, as anticipated. Expected Storm Evolution: Snowfall should break out after midnight, primarily to the north of the Mass turnpike and especially the route 2 region. The snow will grow steadiest near the New Hampshire and Vermont border by approximately 4am. And thankfully will be winding down by the morning commute, however, it is advised to allow for some extra time north of Boston, nonetheless. Final Call: There are no changes to the forecast snowfall map.

Final Call for early Wednesday AM Light Snows No Changes to the Forecast Synoptic Overview: The forecast rationale from First Call on Saturday is unchanged. A fast moving, modest parcel of northern stream energy will move through central New England during the predawn hours of Wednesday morning. This track is indeed most similar to the scenario modeled by European guidance last weekend, as anticipated. Expected Storm Evolution: Snowfall should break out after midnight, primarily to the north of the Mass turnpike and especially the route 2 region. The snow will grow steadiest near the New Hampshire and Vermont border by approximately 4am. And thankfully will be winding down by the morning commute, however, it is advised to allow for some extra time north of Boston, nonetheless. Final Call: There are no changes to the forecast snowfall map.