40/70 Benchmark

Went through here about 8am.

I'd give February a solid B.....but the rest of the winter is like a D-

Stupid to give up now.....let guidance give it the 'ole college try. Everything is going for us.

I think its a no-brainer anywhere south of us because Jan 7 was NBD.

I'm just over 30"....which is worse than last year if it doesn't snow in a meaningful manner again, which is possible.

Eh...as far as snow retention, yes.....but total snowfall and storm activity? I'd take last year considering the latter two. Jan 7, 2024 was an incredible experience that I would part ways with every storm I have had this season to witness again.

I hope it nails March...I'm done...seen enough to know I care not to see anymore.

There is often validity to that, though...like we saw on January 11th. It depends where the n stream energy tracks.

Once that CF went through, it's time for me to get out and shovel bc there will be no icing here....that much is clear...at least not for a while, maybe near the end with the tuck.

Well, the flip side of that is "why do we have forecasters if we have these elaborate computers resolving meteorological physics from the data concerning initialized conditions being fed to them"???? Well, first of all, we don't know if all of said data being fed in is correct....Secondly, forecasters can add an element of subjectivity that the computer cannot and make a determination regarding which output is likely to actually occur and which is not. It has become obvious to me that the ridge alignment out west just sucks this season in that it does not allow for proficient enough phasing close to the northeast coast because it's poorly situated and oriented. However, for whatever reason, the guidance is blind to that in the extended medium range and keeps trying to develop these tempests that strike the NE US coast, but once we get within 5 days, they can more adequately resolve this and arrive at the correct, dull solution. Express whichever sentiment you wish, but the ultimate mediator is the scoreboard.

CF just through this past hour, as the temp has spiked from 23.

5.75" with mainly snow, but mixed in with some IP 30.9

4.75" Light Snow grains 23.0

Awesome

Models trying to phase near SNE in the medium range only to ultimately fail...who would have thought!?

Nude?

2.25" as of midnight 23.2

I think the safest bet is all Pacific driven.

I don't think anyone feels there will be nothing....but that doesn't mean many in SNE benefit from it. Every model has a storm response...

It will.....its not over in that sense.

Except the ones that don't end up big....there have been many past several years...just last month.

I could totally see plowable SOP.

In NYC, agree.

Sping

Its January....pete-repeat.