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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. That may not be as big of an issue in February.
  2. Yea, I wasn't trying to assuage any angst by making that comparison Just pointing it out. I made the mistake of including seasons in the January composite, like 2001-2002, because of that expected PT regime mid month.....but as it turned out, the cold dwarfed it so much it was a mistake. That is why I busted too warm. I feel like diagnosing the pattern is easier than the making the temp composite maps.
  3. It's not good any time of the year....that wasn't my point. Just saying it's similar to that thaw period.
  4. I don't like that middle system...those sheared systems are usually a lost cause here. It will probably work for CT.
  5. Yea, it probably won't work out like that, but that is the pathway to be falling short of climo for an 8th consecutive season.
  6. OP EURO is a disaster verbatim....1st SWFE snow is just N of me in S NH, the follow up is sheared sw of me, and then the coastal is OTS.
  7. I'm just teasing John.....I know it's true. I just think it's a bit more nuanced than some imply.
  8. And isn't debatable...there's research, so any voices of dissent must be born of an aptitude deficiency.
  9. I'll burn a few extra tons of fossil fuels.
  10. Trends from that mid January PT regime are probably most pertinent here.
  11. Kind of like January looked -PNA? Looks can be deceiving.
  12. Probably more favorable than 2023...my guess is somewhere in between. Not especially cold (that is done), but good bet at a strong storm with some blocking.
  13. Strongly agree with Ben Knoll giving March 2018 and 2023 shoutouts here, we are primed for more PV antics and some stormy times. https://x.com/i/status/2023034565619585286
  14. Funny how 1000' elevation tends to be colder than surrounding areas...
  15. I expect another 10-20" on the season for MBY.
  16. Yes, this is what I meant last night. I think the prevailing sentiment has been that it would probably come back enough to c*ck tease everyone til the end, but not a real threat to 99% of SNE.
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