Funny how the EURO is the most skilled model out there when it's solution sucks for SNE...remember that December 2 system? It was snow for all, then inexorably marched northward right up until go-time and it mixed up to MHT. Of course it nailed the vort impotence here at hr 120.
Unreal.
Yea, I don't doubt it hits 8 necessarily...but like we saw in December, guidance may, at least initially, be overzealous with residence and/or amplification.
All kidding aside, I am shocked by the percentage of highly trained professional meteorologists that can't wrap their mind around the fact that you don't instantly eradicate a decade of cool ENSO AAM the moment the weekly anomaly in region 3.4 drops below the -0.5C threshold on (insert dataset of choice). It's utterly disheartening.
Say it with my guys and one outlier girl..."I'm a good person and I deserve snow.....but my life with or without snow has value". Breathe......and....repeat......
Good test for the "La Nina is fading fast" crowd....I call BS on it.....but IF that has any credence what so ever, we won't get boned out of phase 8 residence and amplitude once again. I think we will....watch the models adjust.
Now the +TNH that results from the reflection event should act as a precursor to the February SSW, just as the Pacific Trough Regime that is just wrapping up was the precursor to the upcoming +TNH interval born of stratospheric reflection.
Now the +TNH that results from the reflection event should act as a precursor to the February SSW, just as the Pacific Trough Regime that is just wrapping up was the precursor to the upcoming +TNH interval born of stratospheric reflection.
Now the +TNH that results from the reflection event should act as a precursor to the February SSW, just as the Pacific Trough Regime that is just wrapping up was the precursor to the upcoming +TNH interval born of stratospheric reflection.