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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. That little block south of James Bay is really saving our bacon during a bonafide Pacific trough onslaught.
  2. EURO is the least impressive in general with the two follow up potentials.
  3. I'm not trying to imply that it will necessarily rival that stretch on a per inch basis, but I think it does help to validate the use of that season as an upper tier analog. That was a very anomalous period.
  4. You are a bit better off being further west because it's attenuating as it comes eastward. 06z EURO ticked back N a bit, at least.
  5. First event is at risk of sliding just south of me.
  6. Not sure how that invalidates the analog.....potential light-moderate-major trifecta is close enough for me.
  7. Jesus, 3 systems? I'm overwhelmed with blog overload. I haven't experienced this since...oh, IDK....March 2018??
  8. Potential for a March 2001 type run (I just mean activity level, not meant to trigger).
  9. GEFS AI looks outstanding....BM EPS AI OTS.
  10. GFS AI tracks over @Typhoon Tipand the EURO AI still a graze....so some detes to work out.
  11. GEFS seem to focus more on Saturday then the Monday deal? One of them probably goes bye-bye if there is to be a big event.
  12. Neurodiversity and acne doesn't help, either.
  13. Nah, ironically enough it's the dearth of an ego that has allowed me to improve the past few years....failure is instructive if you own it.
  14. THIS is what I want to see to get in on this....if this is real, and other guidance follows suite, I'm in.
  15. All of that said, I'll be pinned to the runs this week because it's possible, and I hope like hell it happens.
  16. I didn't speak in absolutes....all I did was offer an opinion that happens to not jive with the collective preference.
  17. Go replace another joint, gimpy, old bitch.
  18. Yup. Just be vigilant and keep close tabs on it.
  19. This is place does get nauseating with people placing any dissenting voice amongst the throng of storm enthusiasts on trial.
  20. No, you don't get it. My point isn't that it will miss just because earlier episodes of blocking did not result in a big coastal, rather my response to Tony was meant to illustrate that a decaying NAO block does not necessarily have to result in a major coastal. I don't like the position of the ridge in the plains.
  21. Now quick, go on social media and pretend to commiserate, hope it misses/ flowers boom.
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