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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Looks like a very real shot of not much at all heading into like January 10th....I'm not a mathematician, but I have 8" now...carry the one, tie the noose.... then take a look at years with that kind of total headed into mid January and it's non-negotiable. It's easy to bury your head in a pillow, click your heels together, and blindly state it's too early....until you actually look at the numbers, good forbid if you can bring yourself to be objective,
  2. You need to take a look at climo with single-digits snowfall into January....
  3. Getting perilously close to the point at which I can just about guarantee an unprecedented 8th consecutive dud-winter for MBY.
  4. I also don't see the need for all of the hype right now....I see nothing exciting in terms of threats.
  5. "Don't see it right now...once this happens, then we have a shot"....take all of the frustration out on the can and keep kicking the ever-living $hit out of it
  6. The atmosphere conserves energy for Maritime lows and cutters.....notice the Michigan bomb had no problem detonating....but then when something is near the east coast, the gradient and Hadley Cell are all of a sudden prohibitive.
  7. I know Kev loves his 2"ers...but at that cost? Rather see the ball drop on cracked, barren earth with my eyes peeled to explosive model runs.
  8. If I had my druthers, I would eradicate that clipper....it offers much more risk than reward-
  9. Looping through the EPS, it kind of seems to me that the clipper blows up once past our longitude (of course) and nails the Maritimes, only to push the main baroclinic zone far enough out so that any potential follow up joy suffers a similar fate.
  10. I haven't seen the level of commitment I would like at this juncture to be excited...we still seem to be in the "pattern phase", which elicits some type of hope and optimism that has yet to be focused. Frankly, I have had enough of that over the course of the past 8 years because it's seldom ended well.
  11. Yea, +PNA is coming....regardless of model waffles. Been telling you guys that since last fall.
  12. Maybe the Hadley Cell is insidiously swallowing us all whole.
  13. I still have just about full coverage.....only bare ground is under the pine tree. 36.7 after a high of 37.8
  14. Something has to go right during one of these good patterns eventually....I think....
  15. Yea, anyone can wax poetic about they pattern all the want, I would take 1/7/2024 over anything this "great pattern" will offer up.
  16. I would be shocked if we don't see January average a +PNA in the mean.
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