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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 18th also fits my progression better...never been to keen on mid-month.
  2. This is also what I was arguing on social media, and here yesterday.
  3. I can't stand Miller A..let me guess, shit track and/or LBSW....
  4. Nothing says 2020's like Camp Lejune getting my seasonal total in one event.
  5. Gonna look at everything this weekend and probably write something up.....maybe also urinate a snowflake onto a napkin for Steve to understand.
  6. Yea, I think seeing Brian loop that convinced me it would have ended well...not that it matters.
  7. My storm forecasts aren't actually long...it's only the seasonal outlook.
  8. Well, I always include a map, so if that isn't clear enough for you...IDk.
  9. Very low confidence on this....but the 2013 analog that I discussed with Will is in the back of my mind and we do have some catching up to do. I like early March better, but eyes should be peeled in February. I was so torn on including that year in my February composite, but opted against at the last moment bc it was too warm ENSOish...but I wouldn't argue with anyone that did.
  10. Put the lips' n' hips on ice, the dog logs should be covered soon.
  11. No doubt it's radiational cooling when I am lower than you lol
  12. I would bet anyone, any amount of money the monkey is long gone by February 1.
  13. I was a bit surprised it got down to 19.8....figured there would have been a higher launching pad. I'm sure it's mostly fake born of radiational cooling and will be wiped out shortly, but still-
  14. Combination of cold and low solar irradiance has really maximized snow cover.
  15. I think spiking the MJO amplitude in phase 7 later this month would further bolster confidence in this outcome, but my confidence is already pretty high.
  16. Absolutely....many on social media, including DT, are always inclined to rush the demise of ENSO. It's tiresome. I do expect the PNA to be the primary catalyst for some significant snowfall here in short order, as I do not expect NE coastal snowfall to remain this paltry.
  17. I don't mean "deathblow" to winter...as in winter over; quite the opposite. It's just getting started, as frustrating as it's been.
  18. I mean that that PV is going to ultimately incur a severe disruption that will end in a split, after the stretching of the next few weeks.
  19. I was just mentioning in the ENSO thread, we are going to stretch the shit out of the PV during the second half of January, then the death-blow will come in February....we should end up splitting that b!tch in two. The +TNH setting up next week is the precursor to that major wave 2 disruption that will culminate in a February split. We are going places pattern wise, and the snow should follow suite.
  20. The theme for latter January will be stretching....the knock out punch comes in February.
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