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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yea, if it's snowing at 4'K in n VT, it will surely be great in DC. Idiot.
  2. That to me looks like a pattern more conducive to overrunning, as any major phasing attempt(s) is/are likely to be sheared out by a compressed field.
  3. Gotta love the 'ole 3-11" and 1-6" forecast ranges.....must really boost scores.
  4. I see far more hyped winter videos than I do CC propaganda online.
  5. Everything warrants a "PREPARE NOW" headline....it's truly nauseating. I've been reading that crap every week from November through March and have been averaging like half of my average seasonal snowfall each year.
  6. I just feel like these youtube mets do the public a disservice because the focus is more on click maximization than it is the dissemination of the highest quality of information. This garbage is also like opioids for weather weenies.
  7. I think at the end of the day, December is a New England month more than anything else, but hopefully I'm wrong. Mid Atlantic could get a decent event mid-month or so.
  8. His subscriptions should be fading....he said it twice.
  9. I had the second week of December as go-time in terms of snow for my area given analogs...still feel that way. It will be a slower than expected progression of the cold to the east given the RNA.
  10. He seems like a tool-bag to me....like the Direct Weather bafoon.
  11. I am stunned 1995-1996 had a stronger than climo PV.
  12. I expect something akin to Dec 2000 (ie no reversal, but significant SSW, nonetheless), which is the best general analog IMO.
  13. It should. The conjecture about locking through January is silly.
  14. The only unusual element is in the event that the zonal wind actually reverses this early, which is still dubious IMHO. This is the latest example of how online forecasting is more geared towards attracting attention and generating revenue, as opposed to adding actual value.
  15. Larry, what is the link to get that historical 60* mean zonal wind data? Thanks.
  16. Last year was close...I ultimately deemed it moderate after considering MEI and ONI. -1ish can go either way...if the RONI were like -1.3, then I would have called it moderate.
  17. They always get blown out of proportion. Indicative of the decay of society....increased proclivity towards instant gratification and shorter attention spans, decreased tendency towards delayed gratification and the ability to think critically. I would still bet against an actual reversal of the mean zonal wind.
  18. Yes, I see a lot of January 2006 like jet extension...it was in my analog list.
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