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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Oh, man...that is confusuing. Wayyyy too many dashes.
  2. Some of these seasons aren't that warm.....its heavily biased by years like 1982-1983, which really isn't relevent this season. It certainly gives pause for expecting a repeat of last season, but I would hang myself over it.
  3. Well, I gave you a list of easterly QBO/cool ENSO analogs a week or so back....the composite featured a ridge thatg was about as flat as a 50 year old weather dork's gut-
  4. Got up to 89.1, but has settled back to 87.7.
  5. That makes sense to me....My early hunch is that we will have a strongly -EPO, and a near neutral to modestly +WPO....I think this regression is temporary and we will recommence the climb out of this.
  6. The seasonal oscillation....you can set your watch by warm piece of shitness during the cold season holidays.
  7. I think the fluctuation earlier this year was the first sign of the longer term trend line beginning to sway upward...but you don't just go from 0-100 coming out of this....its going to be a 2 steps forward, one stap back deal protracted over several years.
  8. I don't really care what the ONI does, I'm considering modest la Nina analogs.
  9. You could have at least gave torch tiger or someone a drunk dial first
  10. 72.1 for the low...back up to 81.9
  11. Well, off to bed....71 to 100 and back down to 81.0. BOS still 92 with a HI of 99
  12. 80s on ACK...not bad for June-
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