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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Strong forecast overall yesterday, with the only glitch being that max amounts were a couple of inches higher and more along the coast than expected...in large part due to the fact that the coastal front ended up getting pinned a bit closer to the coast than I had thought. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/01/verification-of-high-impact-long.html
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just don't trust a Miller A with Gulf stream origins to be fixed in a narrowly OTS path from day 6 in, but just me....my initial inclination was wrong last week, so....
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    We need to name this Winter Storm Brett. @TauntonBlizzard2013
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, my bad, but wasn't exclusively directed at you. @Sey-Mour SnowThoughts?
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    We can agree to disagree on that. I feel as though the track is far more correctable than the risk of occlusion.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Do me a favor, and hold off on the toast proclamations until tomorrow 12z....and I don't mean that to sound like a douche, either....just my two cents. I get the concern.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    It wasn't worse than 06z.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, but more confident that it won't whiff...occlusion is a greater threat, JHMO.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    No.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    EURO was better than 06z, but worse than 00z....in between.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea...Delmarva, S NJ..
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    True....east of NJ, anyway...
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Personally, I'd prefer it around ACK, but probably unreasonable ask.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Odd...low is a tick se of the BM, yet hardly any precip across the interior.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, nothing high-end will come from that.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tell me where you live without telling me where you live....
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am, too, but for different reason.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am. Not worried about OTS at all.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    That doesn't look great.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that ridge position is ideal...said the exact, same thing in my write up.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree....all I am saying is I am more worried about occlusion than OTS.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd grade it today...def. not an A+ IMO because I was a bit too far NE with max zone....First Call was actually better on that.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right, but he was agreeing with me, so that's why I replied. No biggie.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wasn't talking about Miller A systems in general...I was referencing 1 4 2018.
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