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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I won't event look at an OP until like Tuesday.
  2. I don't need to look at guidance....just posters. I know what is going on by who reacts, and how.
  3. Knowing him, he meant "won't look at 00z", because it probably sucked.
  4. I keyed in on the second week in my work, but third is possible.
  5. Hell, I didn't use 1995...but first warning event in my hood that month was 12/14. 12/9 fell a bit short.
  6. 2005...Dec 9th. 2017....Dec 10th. 1970...12/17. 2000.....Dec 30 I had 7 December analogs, and only one had a major event week 1...1981. 2021 had none, and 2000 was 12/30. The other 4 were all either week 2 or 3. It's not blind-weenie faith, as I have posted a great deal of research.
  7. Right on schedule....first major event December 2007.....12/13. December 2008.....12/19. Keep the faith-
  8. Heights still a bit compreassed there....probably why is struggles to coalesce.
  9. I've always felt the window for big dogs would be late.
  10. Extend that north...I took another dong in the rear, too.
  11. This is what I meant. I expected a normal to slightly above normal snowfall season with a pretty active December. If we make to mid month with hardly anything in the bank of imminent, then we will need a big fish at some point.
  12. I'd be passing gas the whole time, so no one would eat me...like a skunk that sprays when intimidated....
  13. I may send Kevin a Christmas card with this image on the front.
  14. I was operating from my own conceptualization of how I expected the month to go, but yea....you probably extend it realistically speaking, but I can tell you no one wants to be a mid month with nothing on the ground or imminent.
  15. Yes, and I have also grown more open to the idea some of the increased tendency towards a cool ENSO paradigm and associated MC forcing may be related to CC, but what I do know is that our current snow deficit is not 100% attributable to GW/CC.
  16. Yea, not denying GW....but there are other factors independent of the warming that are conspiring against us.
  17. I don't think it's 100% due to CC...just leave it at that.
  18. Snowcover isn't declining as quickly as that implies. The past decade has been an awful stretch in general.....look at a snowcover graph from 1988-1992 and it's probably just about as bad.
  19. If mother nature gives is a reason, I am more than happy to slap something together on short notice.
  20. Sorry, it's so split this year on date preference....I know having things in flux this late in the game isn't ideal, but trying to maximize participation it tough when there is no clear preference. We are going to do the 13th....that is final, no more indecisiveness, so if anything changes, see you guys there.
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