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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was just noticing small bodies of water frozen over around Boston on the drive in this AM.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not a bad list there on the bottom-
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exceedingly rare.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would take 1996 and run relative to what I have had recently...December was nice, and had an early April event for the ages.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    It does suck, I agree. But it could be worse and we have certainly seen worse this time of year.. I wouldn't be surprised if most of us had an inch or two on the ground for xmas. That said, this is not the pattern for a major snow...completely agree.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that was a few days before my favorite one on 12/16/07.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Spoken from the guy that doesn't have 4 under the age of 7
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh boy...pope is chiming in; this should be about as refreshing as morning breath.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    18 years ago today, the best SWFE that god ever created was upon us.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mean, it's not hopeless....which in and of itself is all you can ask for.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gun-to-head...I think a lot of us pull a white xmas out of our rear stocking.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Both GFS and EURO OPs (00z) give many a white Xmas.....non-negligible signal at day 9. Euro more xmas eve and GFS Day.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    IDK about the rest of you guys, but in a rudimentary sense...give me volatility, over the single digits on NW flow.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    For once, I like my locale relative to the rest of SNE...Maine looks to cash in. The further NE away from that ridge, the better the prospects of remaining wintry.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will be surprised if we don't see a major SSW and full reversal later this season.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    2016-2017 lead into another La Nina...not an El Nino. I don't think that really has any value here, aside from the fact that February will often bias the Jan-Feb period warm in the east in a La Nina. 2022-2023 was a deeply +WPO/-PNA season, and I'm quite certain that won't be the case this season. Doesn't mean the second half will necessarily be great, but I don't think much can be gleaned from that particular composite.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    All 6 of those seasons finished with a mean DM -WPO, so this season should, too....though we could have a month or two average +WPO, as was the case in 1990. Looks like I am going to be off on the WPO again...it's so tough to forecast. At least I didn't go strongly positive....
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think Noyes is a hypster.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am definitely prone to those negative aspects, but not to this extent.....not looking back at my climo. Now, this spot is hostile to jackpots for the reasons that you have mentioned, yes....but more often than not I get enough to still average over 60". The point I will disagree most with is the SWFE....this area cleaned up in 1970, 2007 and 2008.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I love building a base of my own resources....I sometimes draw upon them when the situation warrants. It's also nice when some douche misquotes me, as I simply copy/paste my actual thoughts in short order.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    ONI should def. peak in OND period.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I forget some stuff...especially over the off season. I find myself reading some of my old material to get reacclimated...no better way to reorient yourself with material than having it presented in a way that is uniquely tailored for your own understanding....I am probably best suited to author those works. haha.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think he was a little tongue-in-cheek with the "winter ends" proclamation, but just my take. Point was that the pattern looks to be subpar for a while.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think my climo has dropped this precipitously for the long-term...maybe it has and I'm wrong, but talk to me in another 6-8 years.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't get that impression...
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