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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Mid levels are better.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Elevated Sand dune.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro might be better based on early texts...
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its not the main reason for the storm, but yesterday it was hinted that more of the main SW to the west would try to get involved. That is now gone and there is less margin for error with the vorticity from the single SW.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Funny, if it were one of the 23 SWs that cut west, you bet your a$$ that vorticity would have fit together like a glove.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yesterday some the SW back west way trying to phase in. If we had blocking, there would time for this to slow down have more time to congeal.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Zero doubt that is the general solution. Going to be a another moderate event at best for most....never trust the phase this season.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not your fault...that's why it gets so snippy here sometimes..all of the little nuances in everyone's mood and perceptions. The GFS is still good for you on the heels of a 6" jackpot yesterday....not surprised you aren't a Debbie. lol
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    The kick due east is what bums me out...that would be a killer here.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, it sucks for the "Debbie's" back yards. Pretty maddening for areas around here, where everything decent goes north, and now south the area. Even more so for SW CT. I think the mid levels will save me if they close.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its probably because you were focusing on your own back yard....understandable. Just remember to try and be intially conservative if there is any doubt...you end up looing a lot more credible.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    We'll see.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes...36* and not 50*...still a marine influence more hostile to snow.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    CAD from the deep sand dune down the street.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Can admin make that James' avatar?
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    You are surrounded by water. N, NE E, SE, S, SW, W, and NW scream marine influence.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Never doubt the gulf stream.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    As a point of reference.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think this deal is going to be essentially a now-cast, which is a novelty at this day and age....I'll bet against a juggernaut. I still like something a bit more amped than my first call from Wednesday night. I'll do Final Call this PM....I will increase a bit.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree.. always been against the phase. Nice event, but not a nuke.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've had enough of that.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think we end up with two 6-12" events for a large portion of the area. No nuke...but two nice events.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know, but the QPF gradient is a crude approximation, and that aligns....just a guess on my part.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know that, but it still shows where banding set up.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it would be more than that with banding.
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