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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    +1.5" 36"
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I understand that, but when the best guidance available closes at 12 hours out.....$hit..there are obviously factors that I neglected to consider, such as inflow, etc. This is why seasons like this, when I have my a$$ handed to me, are instructional. I'll know better next time. 1" in Methuen...
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, what a rough season. As much as I'd like to forget it, need to learn from it.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanks. Where do you look to determine that, 250mb winds?
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mean...show me closed mid levels at hour 12, and you'll get me every time. Almost need to just blindly forecast as little snow as possible, at this point....only thing that works this season.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I never bought the uber solutions, but took the bait on moderate...hook, like and sinker.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Perfect example, actually. Good call.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, same rationale.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    We're very similar.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Final Call for Saturday: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/03/guidance-continues-to-congeal-on.html
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Either that, or ingests the same data...
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Mid levels are better.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Elevated Sand dune.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro might be better based on early texts...
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its not the main reason for the storm, but yesterday it was hinted that more of the main SW to the west would try to get involved. That is now gone and there is less margin for error with the vorticity from the single SW.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Funny, if it were one of the 23 SWs that cut west, you bet your a$$ that vorticity would have fit together like a glove.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yesterday some the SW back west way trying to phase in. If we had blocking, there would time for this to slow down have more time to congeal.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Zero doubt that is the general solution. Going to be a another moderate event at best for most....never trust the phase this season.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not your fault...that's why it gets so snippy here sometimes..all of the little nuances in everyone's mood and perceptions. The GFS is still good for you on the heels of a 6" jackpot yesterday....not surprised you aren't a Debbie. lol
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    The kick due east is what bums me out...that would be a killer here.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, it sucks for the "Debbie's" back yards. Pretty maddening for areas around here, where everything decent goes north, and now south the area. Even more so for SW CT. I think the mid levels will save me if they close.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its probably because you were focusing on your own back yard....understandable. Just remember to try and be intially conservative if there is any doubt...you end up looing a lot more credible.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    We'll see.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes...36* and not 50*...still a marine influence more hostile to snow.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    CAD from the deep sand dune down the street.
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