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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    We dodge!
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd give the effort for Sally an A. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/09/hurricane-sally-verification.html
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I told a stormchaser on facebook that if a cat 3 landfalls in NE, I'll chase with him wearing a dress and high heels. I stand by that.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Intensity didn't change for Final Call, but track shifted somewhat east. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/09/hurricane-sallys-approach-final-call.html
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Been that way more often than not over the course of the past decade.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right.....most disparate with snowfall, though....2005 wasn't that cold, but near normal.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Last winter was nothing like 2004-2005 for the northeast in terms of snowfall.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree. This weak la nina doesn't look as good for the ne as many have, though. Agree with a lot of what has been said in here, unfortunately.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/09/sally-to-threaten-beleaguered-n-gulf.html
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm still on the weak train for now.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh yea......boring period for sure.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    My main issues with 2007-2008 is the la nina intensity and QBO, which I have seen you discuss. Not a terrible analog, though.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Look like avg precip north of the pike, if we want to split hairs at several months lead. :LOL:
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Megalopolis system, December 1981 event, Blizz of April '82 and the March 30 1984 event stand out in my mind....
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is bad news...you always want the cool anomalies in the eastern regions, regardless of ENSO.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you mean January 1987....
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't disagree with this.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    That has zero to do with my actual outlook. Its simply a base ENSO composite.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is my insanely preliminary weak la nina composite....only sorted by ENSO, at this point.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    My next blog will start getting more into the particulars of the weak la nina composite years. I am very confident we weak nina....highly doubt cold-neutral.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I never realized how insanely close it was for me in Wilmington...I wasn't as scrupulous back then as I am today. It started snowing heavy in MBY, and I was like.....okay, we good. Little did I know that it was relatively inconsequential snow in like Lawrence/N Andover...
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thank god that I wasn't at my current spot near the NH border in Methuen, then....I would have swan dived into the Merrimack. I remember laughing at the 5" of pixie dust that was reported in Methuen, while staring out the window in Wilmington at my 18-20" of fluff.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    How was the run this morning?
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I ruled out a cat 5...which it didn't achieve. I didn't forecast a cat 1...I forecasted a 3.
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