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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Severe wx, Windex, Backlash, Inverted Trough, Anafront
  2. Been 1-3" with spot 4" since the get-go...no change. Fraud refers to the tendency to underperform expectations....doesn't mean P sunny skies. Pretty simple.
  3. He knows that. If I were hugging the NAM, then I would have been forecasting several inches in the first call. The 18z NAM is a mere illustration of the instability and unreliability of that particular piece of guidance. I think that is the point. I already agreed that the 18z maybe overtrended...still think general 1-3".
  4. I'm talking about the current system, not the weekend. Yes, the weekend system originally appreared more appealing.
  5. Yea, won't be suprised if NAM overtrended here..it blows.
  6. You mean no widespread 3-6" from the pseudoanfrontal? Stunned-
  7. Not sure what plenty of people were looking at-
  8. My point is that that particular system waa modeled as a cutter from the outset. That is not the case with respect to that system.
  9. I don't recall this system as having much of a chance...
  10. I would not doubt another biggie...the first one was a smidge ahead of my pre season 12-5 to 12-19 window, but the door remains ajar, mild intervals not withstanding. The month was supposed to be variable, yet active imo-
  11. Yup...topography should marginally assist in availing of most ample mositure/cold nexus.
  12. I think elevation could initially help expedite accumulations a bit over ORH hills...
  13. Well, most KUs impact the population centers... the scale measures impact of east coast snowstorms. I think that one goes down as interior/near miss...
  14. First Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/12/snowy-am-commute-wednesday-possible.html
  15. Sticking to widespread 3-6"? Good luck...hope it works out. General inch or two ar best, with maybe a narrow band of more imo.
  16. I was speaking in general terms.. not necessarily endorsing any current potential. Haven't looked.
  17. Maine is an exception for that...climo favored there.
  18. Twice in five years, actually...yup, just like that.
  19. I'll still take the under on 3-6", too.
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