40/70 Benchmark

NAM was the exact trend that we needed....we are fine on the close off now; just need that se tick.

Yes...ugh. Sorry....zero sleep last night catching up. Damn, baby lol

Pretty good rule of thumb is that when Albany gets over 18", I won't.

I'm not confident that will work out...but we'll see.

My point is, look at the RGEM and euro snow output...the heaviest now extends further ne into Maine. That was not the case yesterday. This is becausw the H7 low matures more slowly. However what we need at this point is simply a further east track, rather than a slower capture. What has happened is that while the system has trended towards a slower maturation, which is good, it has also trended north, which is not. This is why NH and ME are availing of the slower capture by way of heavier snows and we aren't.

And I'm not debating a track too close for huge sne snows...in fact, I favor it. What we need most is simply further east track.

That would be a page out of last season...always a 7-10 split around here. Then the coastal nails dendrite to the north.

Maybe it has on a more westward surface low, I don't even know, but again....nothing has trended towards the notion of a shredded system for New England....which is my apparently very elusive point.

Well, north is same as west ha.

I don't agree with you. Nothing has moved towards it.

It already is if you look at the euro, but the problem remains that the low tracks too far west.

Its off the walls and extreme. Its def too far west to be a sne HECS, but UK is too much.

Did round 2 trend west?

I never argued with the tucked look. I have NYS jackpotting. I argued with the close off so far south, which skunked ne areas. Euro as of 00z was trending away from that with much heavier snow into Maine due to a slower maturation. You don't understand my point.

Gotcha. I misunderstood you.

Lead the way to what, the 2' in Scranton that will never fall?

Did 06z euro trend worse?

I did factor it in...I said some sleet to NH...but those amounts are tossed.

I mean, it has the Berkshires getting 3" and Albany like 7-8"...laughable. I'm not sure why Brian doesn't feel it should be tossed.

No way I'm getting 1". Tossed. I have no issues with the 12km NAM.

How did it trend from 00z?

An inch by my area? Tossed as far as the eye can see. I actually forecasted some sleet into s NH, but those totals are absurd.

Kbed being more than LWM makes no sense.

That is wrong.

I think I had you near the edge of 6-10" and 10-16". Makes sense.