40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Meteorological viagra? -
Interesting take.
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Pd II and Jan 96 had tremendous isentropic lift...huge hi. That is one way to get that expansive QPF Sheild that isn't be ba banded.
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Not necessarily...no. Provided it doesn't slip east...there will be some isolated 6"/hr type stuff.
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This system is not decaying....the deformation band will be hellacious.
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I can envision a scenario where someone in e MA pulls 3'. But not ready to go there publicly. See what 00z does.
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Not blowing load early unlike other Jan blizzard.
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Matches Euro death band well.
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700RH was centered on KPYM.
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Unless this slides east, I find it hard to envision Steve getting into and me missing it.
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Were is that on the EURO? My guess is Plymouth...
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On that EURO run, its east of there. Reality....probably either Worcester of CJ land.
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Diane, you are ground zero on that Euro run.
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The models, including the vaunted EURO, only properly diagnose precipitation born of low level forcing....that is the heavy amounts that you see to the east. In a system this well developed, there will be another band that is even heavier just to the west of the H7 Dry slot that will deposit the heaviest amounts.. This is what impacted W CT, the berkshires and s VT last event.
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Take the QPF chart...eat a burrito, then wipe with it.
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There is on the 12z EURO. See my last post. We're on the same page.
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Here is my interpretation of the 12z EURO.
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Looks good right now.
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Final call tomorrow night. Right now, I think I'd shift everything like 15 mi east, but this is why you do two calls, and not update after every run.....recipe for waffles.
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The 00z EURO was perfect for me, 12z jackpots more your area over to Diane. Either is fine for me, though.....it didn't shift much at all. The QPF output is misleading.
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Regardless of QPF, it still looks like we have a good shot at over 1'.
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Yea, that's reasonable.
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I edited that.
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Looks better for eastern areas than previous runs imo...regardless of QPF. Other runs had mid level zone further west.
