40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Yea, I said that earlier to Jerry.
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Well, two that I like...there were also two that you would like.
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I see two...
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Yea, norluns and inverted troughs are usually provisional solutions as guidance attempts to reconcile current solutions with future commitments one way or another.
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John, the 12z euro OP trended away, but the ens mean is what is paramount at this range and that hedged more phased.. albeit still split.
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Kills time? I seldom look.
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I mentioned that getting a KU in December, which a portion of the area did, is a good sign that winter will reemerge before season's end. Not that it guarantees another KU...although I won't be surprised if that happens.
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I think its time to seriously consider a significant snowfall. Not a blizzard, but that is a viable possibility.
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That is fair. Agree.
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I want the s stream insert...not much margin for error if we rely on all n stream. I think the 12z EPS is explosive and screams big event.
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Many of those are near Bermuda. A later phase would result in the stronger solution being delayed northeast, not a track well southeast.
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Because if they had phased at all, they would not have tracked near Bermuda.
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Those are the solutions with zero s stream, which is not congruent with the aggregate trend of the 12z ensemble suite.
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I don't buy the solutions north of Bermuda..take those out, and that is nuts.
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OP worse, EPS better.
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12 EPS looks like a trend towards more s stream involvement to me. 12z Left, 00z Right
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We could lose another several days of our lives tracking P cloudy and drizzle.
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Yea, I was just saying...
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S System is weaker, too.
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Yea, if its rain, it won't be a big loss.
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Yea, I'm not that worried about a rain event, but it is plausible, I guess.
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Yes. I thought that it would have been happening by now.....no spinning that.
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I expected another event in latter February or early March....it would be a little outside of the identified two-week window, but I still hope it materializes.
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Wouldn't surprise me, but I'm done tying force neg NAO down people's throats.
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Yes, absolutely. But refresh my memory of the point in March 2012 when we entertained the notion of a KU magnitude event for even a portion of the region...
