40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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One aspect of the 12z GEFS and EPS that I liked was the N steam waiting to dive in....I'd rather take my chances with a late capture, than a hugger or occlusion...obviously way down the road, but just thinking out loud.
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Yea, right now, but I was referring to the intimation of a PV split. Should that come to pass, it will manifest in a neg NAO.
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We should continue to transition more favorably heading into February ..especially in relation to the NAO. Pacific maybe more fleeting, but we'll see. Glad we are finally seeing guidance reflect that, but I agree that we need to wait for continuity to confirm. I get the skepticism.
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I'd prefer that right now.
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Jan 96, Feb 06..
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I'm not talking about any single determinnistic run.
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Take a look at our top ten events...littered with Miller B. That said, good signal for a significant event.
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The setup favors a hugger.
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We will have dry slot and precip type issues, most likely, but lets get the storm first.
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Yea, not a fan of Miller A...someone in our area will get porked. Take it to the bank.
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Pretty simple concept...it just means that there is increased variability regarding potential track...less of that with a block, hence you don't have to thread the needle.
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I was selling the EURO idea of a big NYC blizzard. Cweat and I were all over that. I remember I had to duck for cover in the NYC thread.
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Yea, you would do better than I would in that case.
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I think the ceiling for us is a moderate event. If it phases big time, then its going to hug the shore, like Boxing day with a more tepid airmass.
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Early thoughts on Super Bowl Sunday. Slightly better look than this weekend, but don't expect blockbuster snows. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/01/rainy-saturday-night-super-bowl-sunday.html
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Yea, I get it. I do expect gradual improvement throughout February, so I see why people were confused by that. I agree with you on a better EPO than PNA.
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Its a long shot anytime soon, agree.
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Dec was good for alot of the area, too.
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I just mean that is my favored time slot for a KU..doesn't mean palm trees, beforehand. Anyway, sorry to derail....hopefully it flips soon
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Not a bad trait, btw...just saying...
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I can see how it fails, too...not making the same mistake I did last year, when I was onnoxiously overconfident. I get it...but I think there is still plenty of time.
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I don't know, you tell me...you like to challenge people. Lol
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February 17-March 2 -"Beware an eventful president's day should blocking establish itself. February 17-March 2nd may be conducive."-
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I think Feb should be decent, but if the pole and atl stay hostile, there is bust potential. Doesn't mean it can't snow before then...I,just feel the largest potential will be later.
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I was waiting for you to say that. Take a look at the date ranges in my outlook. 12-5 to 12-19, which missed by two days, and 2-17 to 3-2. Check your facts. Just because I don't call for April in February doesn't mean I think it's Feb 1969.
