40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Honestly, I'll take a soaker, at this point....anything but this- Kevin's delusions of Sou 'Easters have never looked so appealing....if you don't look at the screen name next to the post, you lure your interest into being piqued.
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Not even just that....1999-2000 was +NAO/AO...but it was one my three primary ENSO analogs (1970, 2000, 2007). Sometimes you just pick up on a theme in analog seasons and run with it. Regardless of the polar fields, the these mixed-type mod ENSO seasons have a propensity to deal mid atlantic specials during Jan or Feb.
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Pats miss PS, Deshaun Watson to either Jets or Dolphins, and 5 weeks and counting w no snow during heart of boreal winter. #REGRESSION
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It's the Jan 2000 I was waiting for.
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I agree....but 3rd and long here...better than onside kicks rest of season.
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Your posts are actually getting much better on average.
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I am so sick of the blocking...its been nothing but a death sentence for this winter. I get the risk of cutters, but there is no way in hell you can tell me that we wouldn't have had more snow without it. This is like a toned down 2010 with less snow.
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06z EPS looked a hair worse to me.
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Here is yesterday's JMA, just as an illustration of the hail Mary.....ideally this phase happens 12-18 hours sooner.
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Of course, OP GEM looks less interesting than last night. See what ens do. EDIT: ICON still has it.
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Problem is odds are you would end up w nothing lol
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Part of me expects the EURO to nod in that direction of being more suggestive of N stream interaction.....I mean, we are only talking day 5 for these changes to manifest. I have a hunch the GEFS suite is not incorrect in trending in that direction. Doesn't mean a hit....
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Yea, I hope that fades quickly. Sorry, Luke.
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No, I'm at the same place you are. Cute development, but not excited.
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Add the GEFS to the JMA, ICON and GEM team.
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GEFS look to be threatening more PV lobe interaction this suite...nodding to what the JV guidance was suggesting last night at 00z....its even showing up in the QPF distribution, as the shield protrudes to the NW. Watch that.....if that takes place, no one sweats QPF.
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Looks about 15 mi north of 06z. Nice.
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Relative to 00z?
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@Typhoon Tip Difficult conundrum up here at the NH border...very remote chance this thing gets big snows up here. Knowing that, it's tough for me to cheer on a north trend that likely maximizes my pain pulling another Jan 2016...course of least regret is to wish it south, so the pain is muted by distance between myself and big snows. Close whiff on a south of pike KU would be the shit cherry on the terd sundae.
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Lexus, now brother.
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EPS trended a hair better...looks like the GEM
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Yea, probably about 12 deep...
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