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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. EPS looks good IMO for pike points N.
  2. Its obviously undergoing baroclinic enhancement as a byproduct of extratropical transtion, so that seems feasible to me. Are we getting a cat 1 snowcane? No.
  3. That scenario reminds me of Dec 9, 2005...not saying this is a redux...
  4. Is the upper system capturing? Haven't looked..just speculating. There is a lot of energy phasing...
  5. Hopefully latitude compensates for elevation some.
  6. I think the UK is reasonable. The para GFS is zonked.
  7. Jesus...may have to break from the winter outlook to tackle pre-winter shenanigans....that would be a first.
  8. Looks too tucked, unless its stacked?
  9. TBH, I would rather pass on the big s stream from the Gulf, and just take my chances with the N stream.
  10. There is some chance Zeta is more directly beneficial to NE snowfall.
  11. Thanks, Will. I take a look at this later. I have to bookmark these so I can stop harassing people every fall. lol
  12. If anyone could post the CFS and UKMET NDJ, or DJB la Nina SST anomaly map, I would greatly appreciate it. Thanks.
  13. Could anyone in here post the UK and CFS forecast for la nina? I have only been able to find the plumes...I'm looking for the SST anomaly maps. Thanks.
  14. I could see something like that this season. I really like 2000 as an analog, too....prob +3 on my big three list.
  15. To be fair, I think most have done poorly the past couple of years. I know raindance and Tom hit last year.....about it. But NOONE forecasted the level of atrocity that unfolded throughout January and February of 2020.
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