40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Uber phased idea is BS imo. We'll see.
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Its not tracking through central NE. Not happening.
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That run is dumb. Worse case if an ice storm.
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Yes, could be one of the exceptions, especially since favored sports are over the mts. I'll def. sell the widespread 16-20", though....unless H7 closes.
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Obviously here that is the case, but not everywhere. Sure, someone will get over a foot. I guess there could be some widespread amounts up to 16" due to overrunning, but more often than not, it doesn't work out. Some of this could also be orographically enhanced up there, too.
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Two tell-tale signs of fraudulent (WIDESPREAD) foot+: 1) Mid level low centers are NOT closed. 2) Mid level low centers, H85-7, pass over or to your nw. #sell
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I think in a fairly thin area...but I also feel that there will be a lot of sleet. You have a shot to have civilization halted where you are..sure.
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May not be this 12z suite, but this is going to trend colder...agree with Will and Tip. I don't buy this big ice storm for my area. I think its going to be like the VD Day event with a lot of snow and sleet.
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Way amped. Flips me to sleet and rain after like 3-4". Don't buy it...I'm sure scooter will give it a full prostate massage in the AM, but I'm selling that. Typical over amplification of EURO in medium range. It will come back to earth. 70/30 comp with everything else gives us about what we have been expecting...6-12" for pike north, seal it with an icy kiss, then on to the promised land-
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UkieU
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I'll be there.
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We had one in Feb 2009, too.....models were trying to sell 1-2' in a SWFE....yea, right.
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Unless this closes off at H7, I would sell on widespread amounts of greater than 12"...even where it remains all snow. I remember we had an event in early Feb 2011 where the models were trying to sell that crap.
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Yea, but I mean...I don't argue with any of his assertions...all 100% correct. We are just hedging differently.
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How many times can you play with fire and eventually not get burned? Something is going to break right.
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Figured.
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https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/01/major-winter-storm-late-this-weekend.html Leaning colder. Haven't seen 00z GFS yet...how is it?
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I don't wishcast. While a the more northern track is certainly a viable outcome, there is a polar vortex in relatively close proximity, and the notion that it will press is also a distinct plausibility.
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100% agreed. The current nw trend is music to my ears.
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I hoped for this...PV will crush. Keep the faith.
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2005
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Totally
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Still doubt a cutter
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Stop.
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Yea, lost on me.
