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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I think he'll get some glaze, but it will be more marginal that far to the southwest, away from the source region.
  2. First Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/12/protracted-nye-mixed-bag.html
  3. It hardly budged....GFS is the one that caved dramatically, from a cutter to a colder event. That said, I think the EURO is too cold...here is why... It trended both NORTH AND LATER with the redevelopment of the mid levels, yet got colder...makes no sense.
  4. F5 clown gives me about 6"....I'm comfy going 2-5" of snow/sleet right now, since it will probably trend farther north, and will underestimate mid level warmth, anyway.
  5. Will the real 12z EURO, please stand up...please stand up...
  6. 12z vs 18z Euro......I would cut thos snowfall totals by at least a third...
  7. This just a threat assessment...first call tonight, final Sunday night.
  8. Yea, It's probably under selling cold drain back east.
  9. Especially northeast CT and RI...proximity to source region is important. Northeast is coldest..
  10. I was writing up my seasonal bible last fall knowing full well folks would be bailing when the PAC went to $hit around the holidays...especially on the heels of last year. Funny-
  11. I think you may be near southern edge of big ice....we may see things tic north, but the low level cold push is also probably being undermodeled. These factors may negate one another?
  12. Pretty good agreement between GEM and Euro there...the latter looks a hair warmer in mid levels.
  13. That run would be like VD Day here...Snow grain/sleet mix.
  14. I was certainly ready to say it by about early Feb last season, but not yet there this season.
  15. I don't care. Perceive interest more accurately. Lol
  16. I said for us, ie Dave and me..read carefully.
  17. I have zero issues with this winter so far. Yea, the huge thaws suck, but I'm pretty satisfied.
  18. This solution sounds pretty reasonable...toned down VD Day type event for us.
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