40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I'm not worried... I think you are under the impression that I have this epic second half, like last year. I don't. I have some blocking showing up in Feb or March to salvage a decent second half in the face of an awful Pacific. I am on point, so far.
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I bet not.
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Every piece of guidance has continued to get worse. I'll give it until 12z tomorrow to reverse, but I'm just about to move onto February.
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Can't catch a break today. I'm out.
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I get like 2"....got 3-4" at 18z.
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Its actually worse than 18z...you have to go to the N ORH hills to get much of any accumulation.
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Slowing down a bit, too...
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Bit better than 18z abomination..
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Isn't gaining as much latitude now...we'll see-
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Confluence looks a hair better, though?
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Yea. No bueno.
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This run is stronger...can say that. More N stream injection..
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It is a bit nw through hr 69...looks like a bit more n stream infusion?
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Seems to be really tough to tell..not $hitting on you....pattern is just so nuanced.
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Well, the past 5 runs have all been south early, and we know how that ended up....let it play out.
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Aside from faith in NCEP.
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Its not over yet-
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Heavy back loaded...right ...which has been the law of avgs for over a decade.
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Fair enough.
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18z EPS trended a bit further north from 12z.
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In February, the way this season is going :LOL:
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What is causing that? A decay of the confluence? I haven't looked at much yet tonight....that seems correctable, at least to a degree...
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Its not much of a surprise to see most of January punted. If we are still punting in mid February, then I'd worry.
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I think higher elevations south of the pike and everyone north of the pike is still in it for some appreciable snow.
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I have never felt as though this ends well for most of sne, but its not over. We are still 5 days out and the ULL has trended south in the shorter term....the north trend is out in medium range. Well, it probably is over for you, but not all if us...
