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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I remember you saying that the NAM would do that before backing off again lol
  2. Yea, entirely possible, but hopefully February. I didn't expect it for January.
  3. I've heard the same..makes sense...I mean, what, 7 consecutive positive NAO winters? The regression radicals can't have the weenie and eat it, too....NAO needs to regress, as well.
  4. The backing away from PNA doesn't suprise me.
  5. First Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/01/first-call-saturday-night-winter-storm.html Final Call Friday night.
  6. Man...GFS, Euro and UK all in good agreement....1-3" south of pike, and 3-6" north of pike.
  7. This stretch is really getting to people.
  8. Presidents day 2-20 to 3-5 is my second favored window for a large event...the first was early to mid December (12-5 to 12-19), which was a hair too late.
  9. Yes...always looked that way to me. I wasn't a fan of the wholesale Miller B appeal with that residual troughing out west. This goes both ways....which is why I am not looking at next week with "snow goggles"...just assessing the layout and diagnosing what I perceive as being the most likely outcome. Next week's ostensibly quiet appeal has a better shot of delivering a major snow event for all of sne than this coming weekend ever did IMHO.
  10. There is some semblance of an Archambault signal, though not the most robust that I have ever seen. No one is promising anything, but anyone with a modicum of meteorological intellect can look beyond the single deterministic panels. I know you guys are messing...just sayn'...
  11. SWFE? No...its like asking why Boston isn't favored on a se wind in February. Its not about generic climo....its about climo relative to the particular synoptic evolution at hand..which is a primary vortex passing well to the west of NYC, with secondary development occurring above their latitude. That is never favorable....in July or January-
  12. Seems like some inconspicuously bought the rogue Miller B-GFS run over the weekend because I don't get the sense of shock here...
  13. Climo, NYCweatherNOW.....NYCweatherNOW, climo....time for you both to become acquainted-
  14. Sounds like a job for, da-da-da-da, dadaaaaa....Super @ORH_wxman
  15. I'm quite lucid, chief...it was a joke. Not my fault that your sense of humor blows-
  16. I wouldn't pay much attention to deterministic particulars until tomorrow.
  17. Don't get it....nothing has changed. Typical SWFE followed by the favorable stretch.
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