I've heard the same..makes sense...I mean, what, 7 consecutive positive NAO winters? The regression radicals can't have the weenie and eat it, too....NAO needs to regress, as well.
Presidents day 2-20 to 3-5 is my second favored window for a large event...the first was early to mid December (12-5 to 12-19), which was a hair too late.
Yes...always looked that way to me.
I wasn't a fan of the wholesale Miller B appeal with that residual troughing out west.
This goes both ways....which is why I am not looking at next week with "snow goggles"...just assessing the layout and diagnosing what I perceive as being the most likely outcome. Next week's ostensibly quiet appeal has a better shot of delivering a major snow event for all of sne than this coming weekend ever did IMHO.
There is some semblance of an Archambault signal, though not the most robust that I have ever seen. No one is promising anything, but anyone with a modicum of meteorological intellect can look beyond the single deterministic panels.
I know you guys are messing...just sayn'...
SWFE?
No...its like asking why Boston isn't favored on a se wind in February.
Its not about generic climo....its about climo relative to the particular synoptic evolution at hand..which is a primary vortex passing well to the west of NYC, with secondary development occurring above their latitude.
That is never favorable....in July or January-