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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes....low elevations to the E of the ORH hills did fine. Sure, it was 16-18" instead of 36-42", but...
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    "There's the demon"....
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would rather play the odds with the CF, than be in an interior valley with on an easterly fetch aloft with a marginal air mass.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is why the exact position of the high will be so important....if I am west of the cf, and winds are NNE, there will be power issues from a great deal of paste. East of the CF, Winds are ENE and its rain. Maybe a sharp gradient....
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would not want to be in an interior valley....I'd rather take my chances near the ocean in ne MA.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Low elevation can make out fine, as long as you don't have elevations to your north or east....and have sufficient latitude.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wasn't mentioning them as two, discrete issues...they are related...ie more moderate SSTs is more conducive to skating by with a tepid air mass.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have been mentioning that as a potential ceiling for a couple of days....
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Climo/SSTS are also more favorable than they were on 12/3, which negates some of the limitations with regard to the airmass.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't see that on the GEFS mean...GEM ens mean, I did...nothing drastic, but north...
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEM ensemble trended a hair north over OH...not what we wanted to see. Confluence backed off a bit this run.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEFS look identical to 18z.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd prefer a combination....
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nor am I going to quibble over intensity nuances on a deterministic solution. Same idea RE general storm evolution.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Riding the line, regardless. Better than having the line 30mi north of me.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks good north of Boston. Sorry it blows for YBY
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    They are too far south. Non starter.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    False.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was a little east...out on Long island.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dec 92 snowed 18" in the Wilmington swamps. Latitude matters, too.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, but just discussing the run. I'll be more concerns if ens follow.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't care what the verbatim output implies...I'll sell big snows here with a low over NYC in a marginal airmass. Ugly run.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    That run followed the trend in the other ops of tucking...not good. Hopefully ensembles don't do that.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe my move finally pays off.
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