40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I'll send a check on April 15th just to be safe, but it looks like a good call. You have really improved the past couple of year...good job.
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I still won't be surprised to sneak a major event in or even a very good stretch, but I'm growing pretty confident that my outlook sucks azz. I don't really care to discuss right now whether it looks worse than it really is, but the bottom line is that its probably wrong. I think this is just a fluke season, and my thoughts RE weak el nino remain unchanged.
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I can honestly tell you that I would sign on the dotted line right now for February 2018. The crap the long range guidance is pulling right now reminds me of late Dec-January...just bad enough to suck, and just good enough to be miserable.
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I think that there is a decent shot that we will not see a winter with average temps and this kind of precip surplus yield so little snow at this latitude again in our lifetime.
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I don't even want to look at the long range....those deceitful euro weeklies and seasonals have done nothing but suck a$$...but the OP will nail a track over KBOS from day 8. Then we all lick euro chode for another year like nothing happened. Dandy.
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But at least the skiers can ski...and god bless each and every one of us.
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Not enough to take a day off, but enough to urinate all over the commute and mess the car and shoes up. Fuc# you, ma nature....and happy venereal disease. Take this god foresaken Scott Baio winter and shove up your a$$.
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I'd rather a torch winter...and I honestly mean that. I'll take wall to wall warmth over this. Tomorrow can suck a fat one....I honestly hope its all rain becuase 1-2" of butt schmegma isn't worth a nightmare commute. Pass.
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Yes. This winter is, too.
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Well, his temp composite is not bad....he has some cold seasons mixed in, like 1976-77.
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I agree with this...at least to an extent. I think it provides deconstructive interference to atlantic blocking because of where the warming occured. That is what mattered. However I was right that there would still be enough cold, but I failed to foresee 1) The fact that we'd even have a SSW this season 2) The it would prove inimical to n atl blocking.
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I didn't dismiss his ideas for the first half, I dismissed them for the second half because imo the data did not support it...not because it isn't what I wanted. Still alot of winter left. While I do feel he brings some value to the table, given the same circumstances, I'll bet against him again and probably be right. Just the way it is.
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No, but that is why the first half underperformed. I didn't expect a great first half.
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I was thinking you were further north. 3-5"...sure. should see at least 3" there.
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I'll sell on 4-6" in ASH.
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Something def. is off, which is why we are at the mercy of "luck". Going to have to agree to disagree here, as this is not a ratter pattern. Its a medicore pattern with a ratter return.
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Pickles is sneaky good, though...he can be a little negative, but knows his stuff...all smack talk aside.
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Yea, I'm going to need two HECS to have a prayer...which is what I forecast, anway.
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I still say go big in Feb...and if I can't ram it down pickles throat this season, I probably will in the next one.
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Post clownage?
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No it wasn't. If you win here, and it lures you into continuing to bet me, I'm fine with it because I'm sure I'll come out ahead in the long run. No one is right all of the time, but I'm comfortable with my track record.
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2-4" too low for you imo.
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More marine influence inside 495...se winds.
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First Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/01/first-call-for-tuesday-night-wed-am.html
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1953-54 maybe a good analog..I'll have to look.
