40/70 Benchmark
-
Posts
69,292 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
-
I'll take it.
-
Its too bad we've had such a wet winter with normal temps, yet so little snow at this latitude...the return rate on that must be pretty low. I've actually been a bit too WARM with temps, yet bust, boom, bang on snowfall...tricky science.
-
Your bait acts are so tired.
-
Yea, I blew it. I was confident, so gotta admit when you're wrong. Rrgardless of how much luck is involved...bottom line is I was wong. However that doesn't mean we still can't score.
-
I commend you for analyzing OP solutions of storm threats 9 days out, after being force-fed a steady diet of rectal sauce for three months running. I won't even look unless something viable is inside of a week.
-
I'm still not convinced of that, but at this point, I've pulled back and am no longer invested like I was. I'm so sick of this season in general. I don't even feel like blogging any more at this point....feel like its been about 50 pages of hot air so far. If the Pats lose, I'll probably go nuclear.
-
The idea that we could just keep getting porked. I know you were being tongue in cheek...just saying. Oh, yea...hell, I punted the first 10 days of february as far as big sne snow goes....days ago.
-
Diane and John...I'm not dismissing that. I can see how it continues in the absence of much NAO or PNA...that doesn't scream big snow pattern to me. But its not "close shades", either.
-
Yes....but I also don't agree that you expect that for the rest of the season just because there have been some false alarms.
-
Yea, not trying to say its a good analog for that EPS comp...it isn't. Just trying to spark discussion since that is an RNA Feb that worked out well.
-
The pattern will never change because it won't snow in Plymouth, MA.....there are plenty of stagnant seasons, then. lol
-
Persistence forecasting is silly. There is actually plenty of value in long range forecasting...plenty of people make a good living doing it.
-
I think its very cold, but maybe tough to get big snow event without big NAO or PNA.
-
Looks like the main similarity is the RNA during a nino....
-
I already said that. Alaska is much better, though...you leave that out.
-
-
IDK, probably....not often we see great EPS, and bleh GEFS...usually the other way around.
-
I still think this could go the way of Feb 1969 sensible weather wise..perhaps just colder. We have less NAO than 1969, but better EPO....similar RNA. Maybe colder with a bit less snow than 1969...
-
Diff from 2015 is that we don't have the PNA ridge, which was also perfectly placed....however it looks like we may have a bit more NAO. Botton line: Expect snowier outcomes, but not 100" in 30 days.
-
What are we talking... .6" over 36 hours?
-
My hunch is that the OP euro is the warmest goal post.
-
Maybe I rushed it by 3 weeks.
-
FEB 2015 with an insane EPO ridge....
-
I may start looking at generators.
-
That's more like 2015.
