40/70 Benchmark

1-2" pike south.....except 3" on ACK

Not horrible (except for central NH), not great...pickles FTW on this one. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/02/212-213-verification.html

At least we don't need an '04 Yanks collapse.

Well, now I'm interested.

More severe wx than snow for them this year.

You would like to think that with the subtropical ridge that has persisted this season, we would be able to get this north.....if said ridge still exists. I don't know, I've been on a mental health break from weather.

Its right.

Yea, I don't care to track cirrus to close out this abomination. I'm done unless 6" is immient.

It sucked north of the pike. Cold and dry. Cost me unseating 1996 for #1.

Hopefully it trends sunny.

I miss Barry....life of the party at the conferences.

DT busted like the rest of us.

We are paying dues...got the 1998 redux out of way in 2016...now 1980 remix this year.

I haven't even looked at a model for that crap next week. Zero interest because I have no doubt that the Euro nailed that shit streak. I've waisted too many hours blogging about nothing. I'm done.

Agree, Steve. That is a fraud copout.

Agree.

No, a la nina like long wave pattern isn't luck....agreed. However not getting a higher volume of more prolific SWFE a la 2007-2008 is. Some have whiffed south, too.....the streaks are bad luck.

Hey...give me a great March and an April fool's redux..

This is the impression that I had...so glad its been cleared up. Great job for the most part.....I've learned a lot. Like I've said before, the misses are what improve forecasting ability, the verifications build confidence. We need both.

I have never, ever attributed the long wave pattern to luck....not sure how many times that I have to say that I missed it...I was wrong. The fact that we have this little snow is absolutely due to crap like n stream $hit streaks, and poorly timed short waves. How else do explain near record precip surplus and near normal temps yielding snowfall numbers this paltry at this latitude. And I'm not sure what you mean by preconceived notions...all of my work is well researched and I've been damn near dead-on 3/5 years. Even this year my temps are fine... NAO killed me. I'll do the post-mortem in the spring, as I always do.

I'm 50/50....but may as well stick to the decaying corpse that is my outlook, and say, "what the hell".....we should get a good storm.

The last man standing has folded.

@Isotherm.....1979-80 is the season that you are referring to. I noted the similarity QBO wise, but dismissed it. I don't think 1969 was a bad analog, but the blocking just didn't materialize, which is what saved that winter in February. Thanks. @raindancewx had the best call that I have seen this season...I'd be interested in his thoughts on this on what you have laid out...

I'd love to crash that EPO ridge.

+5" 26" on the season.