40/70 Benchmark

Beautiful growth...better than anything last night. Just about up to an inch for an event total.

Oh boy....more talk of tucks and sleet as opposed to freezing rain.

Don't remember PNA last March, but NAO was epic....it was a nina, so that could have been the case.

No...it can still work out with a neg NAO. See 1969.

1/2" here...coming down lightly

I'm off to bed....doesn't look to get any better for the foreseeable future.

I got porked out of that....just brushed to the south. Wilmington probably got an inch.

Spitting snow here....looks to have just started....bit of a coating. 28.0/20.8

Looks like its about ready to start in Boston..

Thanks. Looks like its good for a thin band that I mentioned..between I 84 and the pike.

Yea, just doing the pre-storm deck walk....dim moon struggling, but still visible here. 2" of ice-crust remains in the ground....capable of holding my weight, and I'm 208lbs 28.2/19.9

Can you post it? Hope its not a sharp cut off...

My goal is 4"...make an even 30" heading into March. Then who knows....another March Mauler could get me into a range where my outlook isn't quite such a traumatic forecasting event.

Sweet spot may be between I 84 and the pike...at least until OES kicks in later.

Yea....that's my 2-5" up here....bc of the mid level front. Otherwise I would have gone 1-3" up here. I figured 2-3" if it doesn't really pan out, and 4-5" if it does.

Man, kid from Amesbury died snowmobiling up in Poland, ME....

Can't be a bad sign up this way...

I'd take .4" QPF and bolt....could event be slightly better then 10:1 up here. I have the over/under at like 3.5" here.

I struggled with this part....I ultimately decided on that you did....2-5". The fact that the mid levels are opening up as it approaches limits the banding potential, however there should still be some enhancement for a time, otherwise its a 1-3" event here....I tried to account for both with the 2-5" zone. 5" would be the exception up here under whatever mid level banding that there is. If those mid level centers remain closed, then we could steal the show up here...models have hinted at that, but I'm not confident enough of that.

I think some of it is skepticism based on the fact that this isn't a slam dunk, and anything that has been in question has gone to $hit this season. I can see how many of us can bust low, and would love for it to happen....hopefully the attenuation of that wave slows....but usually ceilings are reached and eclipsed when a system is amplifying upon approach, not decaying.

Totally agree.

Last March was preceded by a SSW that was focused over the northern Atlantic....I could see that coming since fall 2017. This March could certainly produce, but I don't see anything that screams it like last season.....hopefully the tropics finally begin to act the way that they were anticipated to all season.

I'm glad this one will stay fluff....so sick of the heavy sleet/ice/slush disasters

27.5/15.1

Good call imo....I had a general 2-5", but I won't be surprised if most spots at my latitude are more like 2-3".....I have the 4-5" range to account for some mid level banding, which may not be overly extensive given the mid levels opening upon approach, but should still be a factor imo.