Read my mind. The vintage 1985 EPO dump into Butte, MT just doesn't doesn't do it for me...as for the PNA developing and setting up further east...I place about as much stock in that as the NAO, at this point. I'm prepping for MLB fantasy draft.
I've moved on...not getting roped back in until we have strong consensus inside of day 4.
Let me preface this by saying that Raindance has had the best outlook thus far and mine has been bad. However given that this season's la nina like forcing regime has eaten the consensus alive, I'm not sure that I'd be extolling the double weighting of any el nino analog as a virtue of any outlook.
I'll leave it at that.
Pretty good call. I explained in the final call rationale that the upper bounds of the 2-5" range north of the city was in the event that the mid level lows remained closed a bit longer, which did not happen.
https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/02/presidents-day-verification.html
For you, too....I understand that you have received more, but that has nothing to do with the fact that the back edge is approachng.
I should make 2" at this point...maybe 4" there, so my 2-5" call looks fine.