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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think there is a little more luck involved with seasonal snowfall, than pattern recognition...but yea, every good call has a little luck, and every bad call some bad luck.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jeff and Ray approved.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    He's been pretty spot on...missed one event a couple of weeks ago.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, forecasts reliant upon ratios of much greater than 10:1 should not be made until within at least 24-36 hours.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right now, I feel comfortable with 1-3" north of the pike, and 2-4" south....3-6" in the Berkshires.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably, but this is the time of year where these stable regimes tend to break down as the wavelengths shorten and mass shifts take place. Like I said, if we get that ridge roll over inside of day 5, then it maybe time to take it seriously.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's about what I expect.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very, very loathe to entertain the idea of greater than 3" this far north.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I like that it isn't attenuating upon approach like the last one, but I don't like that the mid levels don't close. Mositure north of the initial WAA thump may be scarce.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this has a legit shot...we get that ridge roll over inside of 5 days, then its time to really honk. Of course, this showed up the day after I posted that no blockbusters are likely this year.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, that's why I asked...I don't follow these CAA wind deals like some of you guys do.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good squall here at 93/128 interchange..coated.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Is this the worst of the wind??? Lame..
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Best H5 setup...
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    That ridge has to roll over, though....that is the only way we have a shot at huge event...aside from the usual bowling ball season caveat.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't see that on the EPS last night...when did the ridge roll over start showing?. Will mentioned the EPO blocking rolling over today, which is why I was looking. That is about the only way we can get a PNA this season. I would have held off on that post canceling big dog potential had I seen that.....so it will probably turn into a 1978 knowing how I've done this year.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    You keep beating me to the punch....knowing this season it will all fail, but there is about as exotic a potential as it gets next week. If this were any other season, I'd be pimping that already.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd rather that.....all set with the mixed crap/late transfer.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not thrilled with this one...similar to last Monday. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/02/some-accumulating-snow-possible.html
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, is a bit of an NAO ridge forms, then fine...but we will need that, otherwise no reason for it to trend favorably.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure why it would.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm going to absolutely go off of the rails if this fringes us again, then next weekend cuts.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Of course not. I'll get an inch or two before before the next cut.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully this one is developed enough to induce mid level fronto, otherwise I'll end up porked again. The mid levels aren't attenuating, so it has a shot. Are mid levels closed? I haven't looked...
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    It wouldn't even be like 2005-06 snowy torch, either...you would see normal temps/snow, decent H5 comp, and be like "sign me up".
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