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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do, remember every other storm?
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS def. toned down a bit from 18z...not sure what folks are looking at....not a huge deal, but noticeable.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I want you to rain like hell, then dry slot.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree...18z may have been a bit zonked, but I think its generally right. NAM likes to play pin the tail on the weenie with little pieces of convection out in the ocean.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Knowing the EURO, it will trend Monday into something lame, like 3-6", then Monday it will be even hair more amped.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Is Saturday trends back some, we had better see Monday do the same, or I'm going to melt all over the forum
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Toned down..sure. The NAM? That would be a modeling failure.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    A 12-14mb fluke at hr 36? Cmon, Scott....BS. That's a modeling travesty.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    If this ever fell apart, oh the melts.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Reminds me a bit of the Jan 2011 system...
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    How bad is it for me?
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it has the right idea...you would hope, at this range lol
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its just never wise to do a 180 in one shift..
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Cf prob in cj land.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thats what I had last night..
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Moderate success on this one....as I failed to adjust after the late shifts yesterday. That's what I get for doing the Final Call early (Tuesday evening). https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/02/227-228-verification.html Here was First Call early Monday morning: Followed by Final Call vs verification:
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    +3.5" 34.5"
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Scary thing is we are somewhat reliant on a phase for this solution...phasing has not done well this year.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Can really see the influence of the strengthening sun angle at this pont....3.5" of fluff was vaporized off of my deck on a high of 30.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm Caribou at 34.5"
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had 3-6" back to 128 and 4-8" from scooter se on my first call map from last night. 1-3" interior...still decent for now.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    34.5" here...same as 2006-07.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think anyone was expecting a blockbuster at this point. I know I just posted a blog a few days ago to the effect that we wouldn't because the pattern is still plagued by some of the main limitations that we have had all season. Some of the guidance was trying to roll the EPO enough, but that is a hail mary. However a warning event remains in the cards imho.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do, too.. I think low end warning is still in play.
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