Yea, that is what I expect...it will develop later and nail Maine.
Lack of dynamics will render this a non event everywhere further SW...maybe nuisance crap higher elevations.
Yea, same page.
Question is how much of a compromise with respect to degree of phasing...my guess is that it will phase, but later than the NAM/EURO scenario.
There is going to be an NAO this month....it was pretty convincing even in the analog data from the outlook, but I think you are correct to question the intensity. I agree that we don't want a huge block.