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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I told a stormchaser on facebook that if a cat 3 landfalls in NE, I'll chase with him wearing a dress and high heels. I stand by that.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Intensity didn't change for Final Call, but track shifted somewhat east. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/09/hurricane-sallys-approach-final-call.html
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Been that way more often than not over the course of the past decade.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right.....most disparate with snowfall, though....2005 wasn't that cold, but near normal.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Last winter was nothing like 2004-2005 for the northeast in terms of snowfall.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree. This weak la nina doesn't look as good for the ne as many have, though. Agree with a lot of what has been said in here, unfortunately.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/09/sally-to-threaten-beleaguered-n-gulf.html
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm still on the weak train for now.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh yea......boring period for sure.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    My main issues with 2007-2008 is the la nina intensity and QBO, which I have seen you discuss. Not a terrible analog, though.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Look like avg precip north of the pike, if we want to split hairs at several months lead. :LOL:
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Megalopolis system, December 1981 event, Blizz of April '82 and the March 30 1984 event stand out in my mind....
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is bad news...you always want the cool anomalies in the eastern regions, regardless of ENSO.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you mean January 1987....
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't disagree with this.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    That has zero to do with my actual outlook. Its simply a base ENSO composite.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is my insanely preliminary weak la nina composite....only sorted by ENSO, at this point.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    My next blog will start getting more into the particulars of the weak la nina composite years. I am very confident we weak nina....highly doubt cold-neutral.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I never realized how insanely close it was for me in Wilmington...I wasn't as scrupulous back then as I am today. It started snowing heavy in MBY, and I was like.....okay, we good. Little did I know that it was relatively inconsequential snow in like Lawrence/N Andover...
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thank god that I wasn't at my current spot near the NH border in Methuen, then....I would have swan dived into the Merrimack. I remember laughing at the 5" of pixie dust that was reported in Methuen, while staring out the window in Wilmington at my 18-20" of fluff.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    How was the run this morning?
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I ruled out a cat 5...which it didn't achieve. I didn't forecast a cat 1...I forecasted a 3.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Forecast for Laura was nearly flawless in terms of track from a pretty extended lead (over 80 hours), while the intensity forecast left something to be desired. However, the error was pretty acceptable given the 30 hour lead time from issuance to landfall. Final Grade: B https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/08/devastating-hurricane-laura-verification.html
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    66.2 on the station at home...love it.
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