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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree that it should be over later this AM.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just mean "unofficial" end....I don't count the tired legal crap.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I did not use it just because I felt it was significantly more strongly coupled than this event, however, I see the utility. I do not expect the pole to be quite so hostile this season....PDO will be worse.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am going to present my work right after this election wraps up, but I do not think the Pacific will be wall-to-wall crap.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Is this KA''s outlook, Howard? Tom will be posting within the next few days.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Great discussion in here, as always. I am done....just waiting for the election dust to settle and I will present.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't factor that in. I did last season
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will adjust, but the outlook is graded as is. Anyone can get an A if you are spoon fed the answer sheet.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't disagree with any of that.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I finished today. Just going to take until the weekend with the snowfall forecast....no sense burying it on election week.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    What signal are we abandoning, anyway? Wasn't November always supposed to get mild??
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Believe it or not, we had warm winters before you became sexually fixated on fleshy, pulsating Hadley Cells.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    It really is in an incredible resource with some gifted minds. I am humbled by the exchange of information each and every season. The fact that someone like myself, who has been math and science deficient my whole life, can compose a coherent winter outlook is largely a credit to these forums.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do think that we will see some the pig this season, but not wall-to-wall, like last year. Later in January and February IMO.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    2" was one of the lower totals, but I will take that on 10/30.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was confused, too.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Difference is its not a pig...its RNA, which is expected...especially early season.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure ACE is done for the season.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I used that piece extensively in my outlook. I have this season as mixed, but a tad east of totally neutral.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think strong ONI peak is pretty questionable...weekly data, sure.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Canadian is also the most central-based of all guidance, IMO...so that makes sense that it would support the southern PAC ridge.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/11/catastrophic-hurricane-eta-nearing.html
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Only one I would hate is 1999.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    @griteater No coincidence that most of the N PAC ridge composite winters are ep la nina seasons...and most S PAC members are co la nina seasons.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hate to be redundant, but 2007 represents a great compromise both with respect to the ep vs cp la nina continuum, as well as the N PAC ridge vs S PAC ridge composites.
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