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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. And that one screwed NE. The Jan 2015 event porked the mid atl.....you have to go back to Feb 2013 to get one that nailed the mid atl to NE.
  2. Completely agree. We should see forcing pinned closer to the dateline for a good chunk of December, which is more reminiscent of an ep la nina.
  3. I agree....I begrudgingly held off, which was tough with a several day string of 70's. I am all set with doing it twice.
  4. I could see this winter ending up similarly to that one.
  5. Largely basin wide la nina climo dictates that the polar domain is less hostile early on. By cold, I mean near normal or slightly below.
  6. Yea, so you had the same two ratters that I did.
  7. What did you get in 88-89 and 98-99?
  8. Yes, but I could see us burning a week or two to begin the month...no pun intended. I think if Dec ever failed, then its rat city.
  9. I don't expect it to, but if if did, my December call goes poof.
  10. This is what I meant in that text yesterday.
  11. Lo was 38.1 here at 7am. Dense fog this AM.
  12. Its more of a +EPO. I'd take the Feb 1969 RNA all season long.
  13. I could see early December being $hitty.
  14. I don't buy the pig part for December. RNA, yes, but I think the pig gets pushed back.
  15. It could be. I don't think the Pacific will be as consistently brutal as some expect, though.
  16. I don't know about literal "record" warmth for the season, but the rest of that is essentially my winter forecast. I think I would favor February for actual record warmth.
  17. I would take 2016-2017 and run. I had that as a secondary analog.
  18. You don't know that. Hell, even in that 97-98 inferno I scored nearly 50".
  19. Peak snow climo is such for a reason...its near the coldest time of the year, and thus positive temp anomalies are not as prohibitive to snowfall. Throw in an active first and last third, and bang....climo seasonal snowfall. Retention is another story....well below normal.
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