40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I'm torn over whether to scroll that first, or powderfreak's upslope thread.
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That is the final installment of the "who cares" series.
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In due time...once the PAC shuts off.
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Yea, def not shocked to see the big bomb end up more of a firecracker.
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Yea, I would not be surprised to see guidance back off some with respect to the PNA ridging. I am actually more confident in the NAOfor once. I agree. Week one is the primer.
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High was only 46.8 here...no torch...AWT. Back to 41.0 and socked in w fog.
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All systems go. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/11/meteorological-winter-set-to-begin-on.html
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I think 12/10 to maybe like 1/10..
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Depends how the arctic plays out.
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I still think that trends somewhat east and less phased.
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Initially, probably the latter....but you can see how this eventually plays out mid season.
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Fall Banter and General Discussion
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hey just my thoughts you do you -
Just let him go....you should know by now that every low passing west of Tolland is a '38 redux.
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My only hope with this is that it substantially contributes to wave breaking down the line. I couldn't care less how deep the low gets if it doesn't result in a great deal of snowfall for Methuen. I'm not one to massage my own prostate while counting isobars on social media, unless its tropical in nature. This ends in banal sensible appeal for these parts one way or another. Give me a 1000mb low over the benchmark with cold in place.
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Its mostly Bob with the drought fetish.
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A Dec PNA could be a big deal for the mid atl...game changer IMO.
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Yea, I could miss on that. I am nervous about that portion of my call right now. However, I like my forecast for a near neutral PNA on a seasonal level. All things considered, I think I am looking better than the consensus for the month of December.
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Keep in mind, though....IMO, we aren't going to have the big seasonal RNA that many assume. The PNA will likely average neutral or even slightly positive.
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My thought has always been after xmas and potentially beyond the first week of January for a deterioration...but the big PNA is a surprise to me, and I would think that would be more fleeting. I think the polar domain and EPO will take a bit longer to go to crap.
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Some of these exotically warm ratter calls have the potential to be over before they begin.
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I still think it will trend more progressive, but the idea of a a big rain event is gaining steam.
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But the question is whether it is done with you lol
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I still think you will see it....not that it will mean snow for us, but....
