40/70 Benchmark

@dendriteWhen will the installation of the breathalyzer to his keyboard be complete?

Thanks.

Which 1978 analog?

1.5" here.

Snowing better now than anytime after daybreak Thursday TBH.

Awesome.

Plenty of time to sort that out. I haven't looked yet.

Yea, maybe not necessarily literally after the ball drops, but around that time, give of take 1-2 days.

You know it's a lull in the pattern when the last 9 pages focus on timing the passage of a cold front. See ya in 2021.

There is a reason that I have checked out for a bit....this is inevitable.

Thursday was indeed Boxing Day part II, despite people trying to opine otherwise. Miller A systems have a better shot of: 1) Hugging so that the deformation is well west. 2) Occluding to your SW, so that deformation is weakening by the time if gets here. I'll take it over last year, but Miller A are usually flawed in this part of the region.

Like he said....pass.

I hit 2.

With a high in the atlantic? Looks like shit.

Down to 7..

So glad you're okay...I need someone to keep me in check haha

I understand that....which is why I said hopefully something pops after xmas.

I'd would expect to pull another significant winter event between now and the NY......just have to see if anything pops after xmas disaster. If not, solid December, but nothing great IMBY.

Did I say from xmas on? I said the next two weeks.

Sucks to have a boring two-week period encompassing the holidays.

Steve is back with a vengence.

Got it.

I'm not debating this, but I'm not sure how a la nina season being front loaded is illustrative of your point.

Yea, obviously not always....if the deformation is over the area, or the CF makes it further inland, then all bets are off. But I have a sneaky hatred for the really cold events like yesterday for this very reason. First of all, snow will with greater liquid content is more athetically pleasing and has better retention. Secondly, cold events are going to pin the CF well to my southeast and increase odds for OES contribution, which both act to focus LL fronto away from me....and if you also miss mid level fronto, then what's left? Basement totals-

Guidance is much better at resolving the low levels, than mid levels...we know this. Its why guidance often over estimates QPF to the east of the H7 low, and underestimates it to the northwest of it.