Yes. Provisional solution as the model gravitates towards reality....thing is, this one is moving in the opposite direction, as the inverted deals are usually trending away from the storm.
That is the case quite often with the inverted troughs...usually in attempt to reconcile past robust solutions with the realization that the system would either miss, or not materialize.
The safest route is little jabs TBH....the stakes are higher with a split/wholesale displacement. It needs to evolve correctly or one region can get screwed.
Has the EURO EPS been much different from the GEFS in the arctic? I know the ridge out west hasn't been as stout....my packages will kick in tomorrow, so I should be more on top of things.
Sure, in the sense that it would be a mild system for NE.....but there were also some changes with that. It trended from an epic early season blizzard in the ORV to a middling event, as many of us suspected that it would.
This is a very reasonable post. I would just say that there are no signs of a return of the pig this month, so maybe tone done the use of the word "awful"...at least through New Years..
Yea, all I meant by more la nina. Obviously more prone to a Grincher than before that sets in, but I do not see Dec 2011 la nina....I am talking Dec 2007/2008 la nina.