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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yea, that is what I expect...it will develop later and nail Maine. Lack of dynamics will render this a non event everywhere further SW...maybe nuisance crap higher elevations.
  2. I like interior Maine most in this situation.
  3. Yea, same page. Question is how much of a compromise with respect to degree of phasing...my guess is that it will phase, but later than the NAM/EURO scenario.
  4. I don't think that the GFS is phased enough.
  5. My guess is that its mostly southern stream again.
  6. Reggie seems to get it going a bit later, which may be why it doesn't tuck as much.
  7. Glad to see it east....its basically an ensemble member IMO.
  8. What a horrific solution, which thankfully is on the longer range NAM.
  9. There is going to be an NAO this month....it was pretty convincing even in the analog data from the outlook, but I think you are correct to question the intensity. I agree that we don't want a huge block.
  10. I would take .7" and run, theoretically speaking, but I agree with you.
  11. Good to know that you aren't completely throwing in the towel on the day 13 event. Christ, am I relieved.
  12. I think the Euro has the idea, but is likely a bit too amped.
  13. That is the one that gave my area 18" and ORH like 5".
  14. All he brings to the table is a toxic blend of confusion and weenies.
  15. We have an explosively active pattern with cold on the horizon....there are worse situations at the onset of met winter.
  16. I would take the cut...hopefully Euro is right. Rain either way for most.
  17. Yea, I'll take the under on phasing with respect to this run, but also the under on SNE snowfall , regardless.
  18. Yea, I couldn't care less. This run just means we endure more erotic se wind bedtime stories from Kev, and more magic marker scribbling below an incoherent rambling about CAPE, from Wiz.
  19. Wolfie can title the thread "Pope's Read-Headed Step-Rainer".
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