Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    71,961

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't read back that far, but still no issue.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Accept that it won't snow in November? Done.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't know, everything I have looked at indicates that it's more of a concern than a worry.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm about halfway home on this year's effort...bringing a renewed perspective this year that is less ENSO saturated and more CC conscious. Hope to post early next week.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, which is deceiving beause the western Pacific was so different. Weaker MEI/RONI merely mean that that exatra tropical regions will be more influential, but it doesn't necessarily mean cold.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Caveat being I wouldn't quite place last year's El Nino in that grouping...perhaps 1972, but def. not the rest.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    1984 is the only event that was this meager from an ASO ONI standpoint that went on to sniff moderate (-1.1).
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    While obviously the climate has changed significantly since then, this is clearly the nadir of this cold phase and we should begin to see a recovery in the trend line over the next few years.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Interesting from a weather dork, statistical standpoint, but really not important in the grand scheme. We all know the PDO will be -5.56 in the seasonal mean and have known since like May.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what I said to @snowman19when he pointed out that 2016-2017 had somewhat of a +PDO, so we may see even less snowfall relative to that year. While that is true, I do not expect the polar domain to be quite so hostile FWIW.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have been beating that drum for awhile now....are his posts one sided? Sure, but if that warrants 5 PPD, shit...take a look at my past couple of outlooks and limit me.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    You will love my outlook.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hadn't seen anyone so out of touch to suggest that Bluewave has a cold bias...bravo. Quite literally a first.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the past decade or so has aptly demonstrated that Pacific cooperation is more important than blocking in this stout, CC enhanced PAC cold phase.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Having a 1, 3 and 5 yo to take out tonight, bring it on.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Combo of powerful Pacific cold phase and CC.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    It now aligns with where a lot of the seasonals have the warmth centered this winter....in the N plains.....wonder if cold from Canada may be abit more accessible to the NE relative to last year.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Kind of like Dec 2007 and 2008...
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Some similarities with respect to winter in these analog packages.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Canada def. won't be as warm as last season because that "El Nina" configuration was a perfect storm for that, so by default much of the nothern US should be a bit cooler...even NE.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I guess the hope this year is that the mean ridge location is actually a bit WSW of us this year....have seen some hints of that in seasonal guidance.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    O
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its easy to say that in hindsight, but those largescale patterns don't always lock into place. The key is knowing when they will and which ones to key in on.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    First flakes this AM per wife. 29 off of a high of 49.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    JB kept advertising a big cold flip like all season long.
×
×
  • Create New...