40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I think it start to occlude when passing us on the EPS....so I don't think its like a Boxinx Day deal....
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Relying on a lobe of vorticity to protract things is even touch and go at close leads....we see that fall apart often at 24 hrs, NVM 6 days. I just don't want to rely on that to deliver big amounts is all I am saying. Looks good for a decent storm, though, regardless.
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I don't envision that happening here...if you want to use a 1/100 yr event as an example, then tip of the cap...I concede. Even the other two....vast majority was in day 1, day two was like several inches over 12+ hrs.
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Its still intensifying through hr 162 on EPS, so isn't that bad.
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Yea, that is what I said about fearing a lock in to another BLSW deal...I am so sick of it....I would give it until the end of the work week, then we are likely stuck with it.
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Raise your hand if you anticipate 36 hours of proficiently accumulating snowfall....sure, the protracted sensible appeal is nice, but I don't think it add much.
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EPS is dead nuts on 00z....hair stronger.
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It can move 4 or 40 mph, all I care about is closing off under LI....the extra 12 hours of shredded RAD don't really matter to me.
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The run ended up nice, but not crazy about how it got there. Hopefully the 00z trends more towards a pure Miller B, as opposed to that goofy hybrid.
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Pretty similar to 00z up here...just slightly further NW.
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That either won't happen (most likely), or will be further up the coast.
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N and western edge of that would be smoked with banding.
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My guess is N stream influx.
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EPS been pretty consistent.
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Sweet. I was honestly asking...you are way ahead.
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As an occluded ghost?
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PD 1?
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I hope we don't get to the point of no return, where its destined to be a LBSW event. I am so sick of that shit...in a mod la nina, nonetheless.
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We'll see. If this one ever found a way to whiff, I'd be out.
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This is why early play by play is useless at this range....the trend from prior run can reverse in a single frame.
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Yea, differences evened out, and now a bit less ridging ahead of it.
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Differences leveled off...
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Yea, that GINX index is always neutral....biased positive.
