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40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Page 1047 of 1195
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Agree. I could see the mid levels not cranking until abeam of the cape.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
GEM=18Z EURO with inferior thermal resolution.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
The GEM looks like the 18z EURO to me...just warmer thermals. It has the intense stinger in NE MA.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
I think the issue there is how quickly it develops....I wouldn't be worried about the NAM.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
1
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
A bit faster and better developed.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
1
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Canadian is almost dead nuts on 12z.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Miscommunication. I thought you meant the solution verbatim. I have no issue with it being too warm given the scenario.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
A bit west.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Yea, I was wondering that, too......kind of RGEM type thermal issue. I was just interpreting verbatim.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Yea, that is the left goal post....Euro east. I still like my First Call at the moment.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
128-495 may very well get 4-8", but not if the GFS verified.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
I'll sick Wolfie on him.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
1
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
The NWS mets know how to interpret model data. You do not.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
1
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Certainly feasible....I think the GFS and Euro are the goal posts.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
It wasn't premature....we are 24 hours from the start with the mid level banding modeled in that area, regardless of what the SPED clown maps show.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Sucking H2O
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Clear your head. Even the weenie wxbell algorithm blows.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Not sure which GFS you are looking at.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
1
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
GFS is awful for this area.....folks can stop lamenting the NAM
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Not if it's a Nuke.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
RGEM is a general 4-8"...ignore the @Dr. Dews generated temp algorithm.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
4
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
RGEM is awful w 2m temps.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
40/70 Benchmark
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Euro seems pretty damned locked in....I would be surprised if it is way off at this point....maybe developing the low a bit too quickly..ie NE shift, and/or w or east up to 40 mi or so.
December 4, 2020
2,865 replies
1
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