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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly my point.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Glad I never bought into the strong La nina hype...I had it peaking NDJ anywhere from -1.3 to -1.5c
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mean...how many people changed their minds about how badly Dec 2014 sucked? Lol
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    They seemed to hang onto a bit of NAO, too, which shows how warm it could get if that PV really get its ass back together.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have mused about that.....you wonder if the atmosphere kind of expends that bottled up energy in spurts.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    That isn't news.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't care what happens moving forward, that one month plus blew some of the deadest rats imaginable.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sure you can, its just more difficult to get huge events due to flow compression. It can certainly happen, though....Jan 2011 and Fen 1969.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly...thought so.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    2018.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mentioned that, too....I think we just need a reshuffling. Track and evolutionary timeline of low pressure areas is unfavorable for us.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Like I said earlier, without that NAO block, this is January-February 2019.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Beat me to it...
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jan 2011 storm took place during the transition from -NAO/PNA to +NAO/PNA. I think the west coast ridging was more later in the month.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know how important the PNA is for major east coast winter storms, but I will take that trade given the hand we were dealt....awful blend of cold deficit and suppression. Get me the cold supply and activity, and I'll take my chances with track nuances...especially given NAO.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Feb 2010...Jan 1996
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is a Jan 2011 look.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not bad...
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    March was good south of the pike....it sucked up here. Cold and dry...epic pack just slowly fossilized and eroded under the strengthening March sun.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Epic PNA/EPO aided cross polar flow.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Quick update on the pattern moving forward..... https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/mid-month-pattern-change-signals-active.html
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    It hasn't been more than 8 degrees from freezing in Boston since Christmas.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    We still need to see how long the neg NAO/AO remains.....I still feel like it goes in February, but we'll see.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pretty poor winter here, but with a neg NAO, probably better here and not as good there.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the GEFS look best next week, followed by the GEPS and of course, the most accurate EPS third. They are all decent, though.
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