40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Good synopsis. I think the OP guidance will rush the decay of said PNA ridge, however, it is ephemeral to be sure....perhaps there will be a brief milder interlude before the higher latitude assist takes over and we turn wintry through the holidays.
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I think you guys are in good shape up there.
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I couldn't care less...non-event in my eyes. The early phase is highly unlikely IMO, but engage in the hunt for blue ballz if you wish.
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I'd wait on the ensemble mean.
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Yea, that is what I expect...it will develop later and nail Maine. Lack of dynamics will render this a non event everywhere further SW...maybe nuisance crap higher elevations.
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I like interior Maine most in this situation.
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Yea, same page. Question is how much of a compromise with respect to degree of phasing...my guess is that it will phase, but later than the NAM/EURO scenario.
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I don't think that the GFS is phased enough.
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My guess is that its mostly southern stream again.
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I love ghetto Tip, yo...word
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Reggie seems to get it going a bit later, which may be why it doesn't tuck as much.
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Glad to see it east....its basically an ensemble member IMO.
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Which has been correcting east.
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Dec 96 2.0
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What a horrific solution, which thankfully is on the longer range NAM.
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Hope it trends east or west.
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There is going to be an NAO this month....it was pretty convincing even in the analog data from the outlook, but I think you are correct to question the intensity. I agree that we don't want a huge block.
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I would take .7" and run, theoretically speaking, but I agree with you.
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Good to know that you aren't completely throwing in the towel on the day 13 event. Christ, am I relieved.
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I think the Euro has the idea, but is likely a bit too amped.
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You really needed a fix.
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That is the one that gave my area 18" and ORH like 5".
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All he brings to the table is a toxic blend of confusion and weenies.
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We have an explosively active pattern with cold on the horizon....there are worse situations at the onset of met winter.
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I would take the cut...hopefully Euro is right. Rain either way for most.
