40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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MPV FTW
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I think being careful may be the course of least regret.
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Get used to that.
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Like how many times would Wiz mention the word CAPE in each post.
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Its very easy to shovel...low reality content.
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@snowstorms....no worries. I will delete a lot of this since its OT.
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Oh, okay. Well, my point was that el nino winters are usually more back loaded for SNE than la nina, but the caveat being that that maybe mostly due to February. You may have a case for March temps, however, I am more confident that el nino is better for March snow in SNE than la nina. Obviously its subjetive...I am talking about SNE because I live here and its a NE subforum.
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Euro will probably at least trend in that direction.
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The vast majority of climate data is technically statistically insignificant. I'm quite confident that you can run the data back to 1850 or whatever for Boston and mod-strong nina March will be below the general March mean snowfall.
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Mean snowfall of 9 Mod to strong la nina events IMBY since 1957 is 7.8".
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This is going to begin our 12/07, 12/08 like run.
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Are you really trying to compare March 2012 to March 2010? I think that you need to so some serious homework, and then reengage me.
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@ORH_wxman @CoastalWx I don't have the site on me...how much did Reading coop get in March 2008 and March 2012? TIA...
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Well, the past two el ninos were crap.....2010 was a fluke, and 2016 was the super event.
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Well, you live in Toronto.....no fan of winter weather residing in SNE should prefer a la nina March to that of el nino. I realize that there are exceptions to this.
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I had some snow grains around midnight, but no trace of it this AM.
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Not doubting that. I am just speaking to my interpretation of CNE, which ORH is not. Doesn't matter, anyway because trend is likely not done.
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Yea....expect this to be the theme of December. People are expecting 50's and driving rains wondering what happened once a winter storm is imminent.
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Latitude > elevation this weekend.
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CNE implies N of ORH to me....I take that as Bershires through Monadkocks and SNH.
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Yea, I have some hope for March, but I am not crazy about the big JFM idea.
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There are exceptions...but odds are against it, especially with a moderate to strong peak.
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Weakening la nina leading to a big second half...if we have a good second half, then it will be due to a SSW. There is a lag between ENSO and the atmosphere....climo dictates that la nina winters do not have big finishes.
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BS IMO.
