40/70 Benchmark

I'll check at month's end...may have been -1 to -2.

I don't think anyone will ever endeavor to forecast the aggregate sentiment of the snow weenie, nor should they. Lol

Anyway, lets wait to see what you end up with by April 1...

Your account belies reality on a grander scale. I'm willing to bet that have suceeded in registering a negative monthly snowfall anomaly in the face of a surplus of precipitation coupled with a negative temperature departure. Saddle up and enjoy straddling the same cosmic dildo that I did for four months last year. I think I had you at like -2 to -3 departure for the month, which I would wager to say will work out.

I feel like this month has already been a big win for those of us among the cold/snowy December contingent....pretty risky call in a warm ENSO year, but it was the right call and it was ballsy.

I don't see any discrete threat to hitch your wagon to, so to speak.....thus an interval to allocate time and energy elsewhere for me. The reprieve second half of December was expected, but hopefully we get going again earlier in January that I had feared/anticipated. There seems to be some support for that, but I haven't looked that far ahead much since the outlook. I'd like to get going again in order to redeem what has been a pretty futile medium range forecasting effort from me this season, after the hot start with the early season big fish.

9.1 here.

You probably have significantly more 6" events. Its the nature of the climo. They protrude into the ocean..

Depends where you are...back east, 2015 took it to another level.

May be crudely articulated, but very apt description. Haha

And when you manage to run into one during years like last season, it will richochet off of a catwalk and into a glove.

Steve, I promise you that I would have felt the same way had I picked up your 1"....trust me..

Likewise...not that I care. ..

Fraud where they should be...back east.

Well, you know all you need to know when you enter the long range thread only to find two pages of short term Windnext babble.

Yea, nice call in a very difficult situation...you were the only forecaster that I know of, pro or amateur, who fared well.

Post analysis.....tough call on what exactly went wrong, but I think convection may have played a role in attenuating what was already marginal OMEGA/moisture combo in SNE, and enhanced it north. However I think if the system wasn't already a sheared POS, the convection alone would not have had this impact. My ice call was decent. Final Grade: C- https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/12/1216-1217-post-analysis.html

We'll see...I need to look things over this wknd, admittedly...just going by my outlook progression.

1) "Mild" in January can still yield winter storms 2) I didn't say wall-to-wall warmth...just on average....we'll see.

No sleet, rain or ice at my home.. 3" of fluff..at least grass is gone. Had a sheet of ice on the car when I left work in Saugus yesterday, though.

+3" 25" total..

Could be mild for a while in January before things pick back up. Probably one more good threat before we close out this month, but I won't be surprised if not much comes of it....I'm nearing climo ceiling for December at 25" and counting...about 10" from a record-

Eastern Mass Weather's largest rival...

Yea, all snow here, but a bites, apparently..

2.5" at 5pm