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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 12z vs 18z Euro......I would cut thos snowfall totals by at least a third...
  2. This just a threat assessment...first call tonight, final Sunday night.
  3. Yea, It's probably under selling cold drain back east.
  4. Especially northeast CT and RI...proximity to source region is important. Northeast is coldest..
  5. I was writing up my seasonal bible last fall knowing full well folks would be bailing when the PAC went to $hit around the holidays...especially on the heels of last year. Funny-
  6. I think you may be near southern edge of big ice....we may see things tic north, but the low level cold push is also probably being undermodeled. These factors may negate one another?
  7. Pretty good agreement between GEM and Euro there...the latter looks a hair warmer in mid levels.
  8. That run would be like VD Day here...Snow grain/sleet mix.
  9. I was certainly ready to say it by about early Feb last season, but not yet there this season.
  10. I don't care. Perceive interest more accurately. Lol
  11. I said for us, ie Dave and me..read carefully.
  12. I have zero issues with this winter so far. Yea, the huge thaws suck, but I'm pretty satisfied.
  13. This solution sounds pretty reasonable...toned down VD Day type event for us.
  14. This is what I was just explaining to pickles...yes, antecedent airmass is a limiting factor, but we are advecting in a colder airmass and with more ease the father north and east one is.
  15. I was one of the first to flip then and should be again.
  16. I don't buy a good deal of snow, or plain rain here near the NH border...going to me mainly sleet of freezing rain.
  17. We'll go to my mom's in Wilmington if worse comes to worst....that place is a safe haven from ice lol
  18. I'm really going to get worried if we see the Schwarz shuffle north on the 12z suite...may scramble for a generator this wknd. Still hopeful for a savage sleeting right now.
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