40/70 Benchmark

John, I know you mentioned that there is a propensity for interior NE MA and SE NH to get into screw zones in the big KU events, and I agree. I have always said that. I think its two things: 1) Low level fronto often focuses near the coast, which increases the chance for subsidence in that area. 2) That phenomenon that you were mentioning with regard to the barrier jet advecting drier air in from Maine on a NNE flow. I know someone like Will will tell me that everywhere gets screwed at one time or another, and that is true....but I do think that there are certain regional meso phenomena that make certain areas more prone than others.

Yesterday was dissapointing, but I saw that coming about 5 days out.

I need a dopamine fix, and am not seeing it.

Right up through the south pole

Would that be west-based?

....And the TX gulf coast had a white xmas in 2004....we can always hope.

Yea, I saw that...I was just talking about the stream interaction at H5.

I think you have a better shot of having a unicorn crawl out of your rear, but we can hope.

Sorry, I made a mistake...I meant 00z was better.

I actually thought there was a little more stream interaction on the 00z, as opposed to the 06z EURO for that next event...

Pretty likely here....only 8" deep in alot of spots and low water content.

+11" 15" on the season...

Wow..that is ominous.

Shortwave attenuating due to crunch between trailing sw digging and running into block.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/12/1217-major-winter-storm-verification.html My ranges were fine throughout central and eastern SNE, but in the lower half, so I probably should have used 10-16" and 8-12", instead of 12-18" and 10-16" in the northeast and central screw zones. I also didn't expect that primary deformation to maintain as well as did into VT and NH...no one did. It also set up about 35mi N of where I forecast it...which turned 3-6" of fluff forecast for Brian into 3 feet. Final Grade: B+

Helps to explain the science behind what happened with me in march 2018...its all about when you measure it when its falling that intensely.

From a local standpoint, this event was entirely forgettable for me, from an aggregate meteorological perspective....ie underwhelming total snowfall, as expect. But the reason that I will remember it are threefold: 1) My daughter's first experience in the snow, and she is hooked....too her sledding down the driveway and side road. No mesoscale met screwing can rob me of that. 2) Others have mentioned, but that was the most hostile WCB in terms of sensible weather than I can ever remember....cold, wind, intensity of snowfall....reminded me of Jan 2005 and Feb 2013 from about 1-4am. 3) Obviously the insanity of the snowfall in that band to the n and w that I just missed....44" totals are memorable, even for the most IMBY guy alive.

I think it held together better into NH than we thought....obviously it was north, too....but it didn't skunk out as quickly as we thought.

We got about the same....depth in my yard varies from about 7-14", but 8 is a common number...best estimate is 11" snowfall.

If you want to quote me, I said anything under 10" is moderate. Anyway, you were wrong and I was right....subby zone was clear. 11" total....average depth, 9". Drift to 30.5" on deck, though.

Well, he and Will vowed to troll the shit out of me if it didn't work out like that, so not sure one "I told you so" is that big of a deal. lol

It was obvious where that hole was going to plant for several days. I confirmed it playing out like that at 630am, and off to ned I went.

Looks like you go that hail-Mary, Miami Dolphins razzle-dazzle play

That's mine. Don't worry about it...its isn't breaching that convective line....it will funnel over to my area.

I am eventually going to get caught in the subsidence sliver from the huge convective band.