40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Yea, I didn't that that was going to happen, but glad I was wrong.
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This event kind of has a 12/2/19 vibe to it...
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GEFS actually trended south, so I wouldn't worry about the OP...matches EPS and GEPS well. Tough to find such cross ensemble agreement/consistency at this range.
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GFS is still a really big hit N of the pike, but really mod south of it.
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Who cares if it doesn't catch up until near New Foundland
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The last two runs were perfect...this one is more like 2021.
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He is thinking of the 2013 March fire hose.
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Maybe so, but your demeanor is always so dismissive and uninspired.
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No doubt...you would think the guy lived in ACK from his posts.
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That really has always been the case....only some of the weenie runs over the past 24 hours have strayed from that notion.
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Will is probably going to get like 7"...but 2" here would be a tremendous moral victory.
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Edge of my seat!!
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I'm sitting on hold in the office, what you like me to do, dry hump an eraser with the computer and lights off?
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Will I appreciate an inch or two in a snow famine? Of course....never denied that. But I won't be glued to the computer over it...
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I never really bought into the route 2 jack idea. I still expect little to no snow, which is why I haven't been feverishly posting about, as some suggested should be the case.
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Yea, had one guess where the band cut-off, and astoundingly I was right.
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Can you post the map, please? Thanks.
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I hate these low stakes forecasts that are still a PIA.
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Yea, I think we have a pretty good idea, but to each their own....perhaps we will have a better consensus at 3 hours lead time.
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Okay, then say that...but the NAM isn't "out of its range"-
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No, its not. Maybe its wrong, but 36 hrd lead time is not at all near the outer bounds of its range.
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Yea, I said last night it reminded me of Feb '69 displaced to the south about 100mi. Not insane dynamics, but just a protracted period of respectable rates. That event was also primarily NAO driven.
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3" here over 24 hours...Steve is right, I should have stayed up all night feverishly updating the blog. All kidding aside, I would take 3" of snow from this and run.
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Crazy how consistent the GFS was from 00z to 06z....not that it means anything. Same, exact placement....just intensified the system a bit more aggressively.
