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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    1 & 3 are saving the asses of mid latitude winter fans by compensating for #2.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    1) I would be absolutely stunned if this winter went rat. 2) I expect the vast majority of February to be pretty shitty from about the latitude of SNE points south. Thus I feel pretty confident that we will begin to avail of this pattern after mid month (hate saying ides because I feel like I'm either 80 or Tip). I will be pretty surprised if most of the region does end up with a good 20"+ of snowfall between Jan 15 and about Feb 5.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree with Scott....next week is gone. Immerse yourself in football, family and work because an investment in weather next over the next 7 days is a week of your life that you will never get back. I am cautiously optimistic about 1/16-1/17. The really fun and meaningful model watching may begin in earnest about mid week next week.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tom, same page...that is the rationale that is utilized in the outlook back on 11/5. While I would like us to verify, I would also like a February 2015 redux, so forgive me for being a bit torn. lol I feel as though even if we are correct about February, there could still be a substantial phase change event early in the month. @LibertyBell I am also with Tom as to having some hope for March...hopefully its not like last season where the it happens too late.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Carol.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    No...it was a SNE HECS, Cleveland Super Bomb, SNE BECS.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was gonna say, but didn't care enough...
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have been saying that 1/16 to 1/17 is the first bonafide threat.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Watch it pull a 1978.....January 26, 1978-
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    You wonder if long range guidance refusing to ever avail of a great pattern in any of the runs is actually a good sign...
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Please keep us posted
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I was suprised, too....I only had a coating on Jan 8, then 20.5" Jan 12, 5" Jan 18, 1" Jan 19, 8.5" Jan 21, .5" Jan 25, 12.5" Jan 26-27, 13.5" Feb 1-2, 2" Feb 7-8
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have always been in your camp that the PV recovers in Feb, but Cohen is saying this is indeed a major event by definition.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've seen him online, but nothing to really post about.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looking back at my records, Jan 2011 didn't really get going until the blizzard on the 12th....seasonal totals were pretty comparable to right now. Still time....again, I'm betting against a repeat of that, but the big tickets are unlikely to really show before 3-5 days lead time.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gotta love how everyone has mourned the scarcity of the NAO over the past several years, now we have it for a month and a half and it's netted one warning event that still deposited the very heavy snows well north and inland. Lol
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey @Isotherm, why is it that this article views the SSW as major, and you do not? Thanks.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure I buy the antecedent pattern being a big deal going into the SSW....sure, a good pattern already in place can't hurt, but look at Feb 2018...it was like 60-70 all month, then all hell broke loose.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly. That is the potential monkey wrench in the warm Feb idea....could be like a Feb 2001, or Feb 96.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Too bad every SSW wasn't like Feb 2018.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I assume you preordered an ebook for Megan as a xmas gift?
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    The SSW is going to eat us all
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro was close.
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