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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ironically enough, this started as an extra tropical cluster of T storms, too...figures.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is insane for this latitude...never see that. I wonder if its due to the HADLEY CELL?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Similar for the cape, but I am talking about the rest of us. There is a difference between NE and NNW movement.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Is it drier, more stable air inhibiting the system on the euro?
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree on that.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, okay....you know deep down the tamer idea is probably right. Lol
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    That would be worse..Bob was skimming NE, this is being obsorbed NNW.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could totally see that...
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Who issued a First Call?
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I don't see the avenue to acceleration.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is a shot points north of pike may not even see much of any impact.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    They imply the same scenario that I did....a strike over se NE as a TS.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am really having less of an issue with a potentially ominous track. What I can't get past is this not unraveling on approach...I don't care what the models show.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I said the same thing in my blog. Late Fri night into maybe very early Sunday is window.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here are some early thoughts... https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/08/tropics-heating-up-as-scheduled.html
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    That makes sense. Thanks.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am not a tide guy ( @Ginx snewx), but this could have some truly epic coastal flooding along the south coast...that will be the story.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, its more pronounced than usual, sure...I was answering specifically to initialization. Its fine to disagree and explain a position like you guys have done, but the douchey, condescending tone isn't needed.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Global models seldom resolve the intensity of tropical systems accurately- deal with that.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably a TS if it ever makes LF.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes...the obsession with the precise initialized minimum central pressure is strange.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not saying much....I'm sure this fall we will see the closest signal for snow since last spring.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Interesting conclusion to the NHC DISCO: I think it's worth noting that the GFSv16 model is now showing a shortwave ridge building over eastern Canada on Sunday, which causes Henri to move more northward toward the New England coast. Therefore, additional changes or shifts of the track beyond the 60-hour period may be required on subsequent advisories.
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