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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I agree..still expect mainly IP here, but man....that warming trend aloft can stop now.
  2. Yea, always dangerous to pin hopes on a sustained March 2018 block, but even just some transient and well timed ridge nodes in the right spots can do the trick. Judging from my analog composite, we should at least pull that off.
  3. Yep.. blocking will make or break second half because Pac will not be very good. I'll do a longer term piece before the New Year.
  4. Strongly agree....for most of the winter from here on out imo.
  5. Probably won't get shoutout given time of year, but it won't be pretty.
  6. Anything we get between the holidays and mid January was always supposed to be gravy imho.
  7. I think Ginxy has been pretty dead nuts on this year.
  8. Euro warming up the mid levels, AWT. Suites my map well now.
  9. I think so, but will re evaluate tomorrow night for Final Call.
  10. I issued First Call last night...Final tomorrow night.
  11. Regardless of what you post on here, I will say your FB posts are usually reasonable.
  12. Yes, higher in latitude, though....more sleet is expected to the east because the cold layer will be thicker.
  13. I think he'll get some glaze, but it will be more marginal that far to the southwest, away from the source region.
  14. First Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/12/protracted-nye-mixed-bag.html
  15. It hardly budged....GFS is the one that caved dramatically, from a cutter to a colder event. That said, I think the EURO is too cold...here is why... It trended both NORTH AND LATER with the redevelopment of the mid levels, yet got colder...makes no sense.
  16. F5 clown gives me about 6"....I'm comfy going 2-5" of snow/sleet right now, since it will probably trend farther north, and will underestimate mid level warmth, anyway.
  17. Will the real 12z EURO, please stand up...please stand up...
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