40/70 Benchmark

1" of mainly sleet, but some snow mixed in. 32.5, after having bottomed out at 31.1

Def. some sleet mixed in now. 32.5/32.3 No glaze, but chunks of ice are apparent from sleet.

32.5/32.0 R

If mid levels lag more than ageo drain, it could get dicey...

LOL Whoosh Still early....I would hold off on going that far, though doesn't seem to be an overperformer.

Wind has flipped more NNE.. temp ticking down to 32.7

No one forecast 85% plain rain in KASH...including you.

32.9/32.4 R

Yep...not reaching ground yet here.

Yea, I thought if would start as sleet up here.

Similar to mine.. looks good IMO.

33.8/26.7

Haha Better than last year, at least.

I should have been more detailed in indicating less ice in CT river valley, but it is what it is..

35.4/25.6

Just look where the text is...didn't want to more ice boundaries because it would be a mess. .5" is at that latitude of the jack areas in between them. .25" north due to sleet contamination, and .25 in to south due to less cold drain. Exception being higher spots of nw CT.

Final Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/12/final-call-protracted-nye-mixed-bag.html

The real snow map:

I disagree with the bolded....short-term mesos often play catchup with that as we close- Still maybe under-modeled....again, this is low level cold. We are all cooked for snow in SNE.

Euro ticked colder

Ideally, I'd like to cloud over at dawn.

39.7/25.7 Bottomed out at 24.8 Too bad clouds couldn't arrive sooner..

I think at worst it mill make it to ORH.....it sounds dumb, but whenever ORH is close to any sort of boundary, err on the wintery side...not to mention the topography is going to shotgun that cold south between the hill and coastal front....more nebulous below ORH latitude.

That is a given.....I always dismiss that and make a deduction based upon knowledge of local climo. They will also often try to place the coastal gradient at like MHT, or KCON, which is of course absurd....its going to be near KLWM, and often times can be the demarcation between 33* air and 19* air, however its still modeled as 27 vs 33. Even mesos just don't have the resolution, though they are improving. This is where experienced forecasters earn their money....or experienced weenies like me earn their 200 blog hits