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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, if we alter the timescale as far as how the SW interacts with the block, then new ballgame. I was more hopeful for this through the weekend, but getting late now. We need to see the EURO do that in the next 30 minutes to realistically consider it.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably not, I agree.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is it won't change much....people always a pick a cycle as this "come to jesus suite" during which all guidance undergoes an epiphany, but it seems pretty locked in.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Reasonable.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Labeling a run as BS without looking at what it is doing is silly. The GFS and UK both make sense due to respective handling of the SW evolution, but are both likely wrong.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Did you see the mid levels? If it delays the dampening of the SW, then it makes sense. Probably wrong, but not nonsense.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    UK kind of looks like what the crazy 18z GFS run from Saturday did, just a bit more tame. It slows the entire evolution of the storm development down so that SNE catches the most prolific part of its life cycle. I don't buy that, although I was hopeful for that change a couple of days ago.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just as credible as the prude GFS.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    #notmoderate
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will admit that if I had the First Call map to do over again, I would have been a bit more reserved, but the 18"+ stuff was always implied as being isolated....its the people like him that focus on the top half of a range that breed misinformation. Its also not a Final map.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not widespread, but southwestern NE could see some isolated totals approach that.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    JESUS, what a gradient near me.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    NAM is problematic for se MA
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd be pretty confident that Wiz was the girl for me if he wasn't a dude and so into CAPE.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is reasonable IMO.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    70/30 blend would be bad news here.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe a moderate success....
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Don't care enough to!
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    If I lived in New Haven, CT, then I would probably agree. But I don't-
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've gone a year without a warning...I could go another 10, and amounts of 10" would still seem moderate to me. Doesn't mean it isn't enjoyable....just not that anomalous.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jesus, you call 10" of snow moderate, and some of these spazes act like you kicked their mother in the stomach. When a snowfall ranks out of the top 100-200 of your life, its modertate. Sorry...you'll live and be better for it-
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its not moderate to my south and west.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I never had that anywhere near my locale. Its not a moderate event everywhere.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    8-12" is moderate in my mind. I'm not complaining about, but that is my opinion.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not taking it quantitatively, but rather qualitatively. The models are communicating the areas that will be bent over at least excuse imaginable, and it makes sense. We have best dynamics west, and OE contributions southeast.
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