40/70 Benchmark

Some relatively underwhelming dynamics on some of these runs with the H5 low kind of sloppy....that's why its taking like 30 hrs to get 14" of snow. Obviously meaningless at this point, but something to watch for. People have this slow mover, duration fetish, but 9/10 times its dynamics that drive of excessive snows...not duration. Usually like half of the 30 hours is nuisance variety....its all about how intense the dynamics are in they prime window of time, which is seldom linger than about 12 hours. Its gets very banded after that.

Go for it ...you do a good job laying it all out there...and I do mean ALL of if...haha

Biggest event in 5 weeks.

Yea, I'm over it, at this point....just been a seasonal theme....past few seasons TBH. It will even out, eventually.

Only flag that I see for next week is that the H5 low is a shade north for my liking on some of these ensemble means.....other than that, its been consistently a good look. But I think if you're looking to max potential, would like to see that shift south a bit.

I know that there is a block, but I feel as though these "slow" movers are never quite as slow as originally modeled.

Yea, line looks like it gets to your area.

Easterly winds are usually not helpful in Rockport.

Final Call for tomorrow, and a quick look ahead to next week. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/tuesday-night-wednesday-morning-snows.html

Freezing lines at warmest point...most of damage is done by this point

Yea, this looks reasonable.

Yep. No complaints....I will take the 2" and run.

Bitch....that how we ween (folds arms)

Mini Jan 2011?

Yup....hr 40 was a bit misleading. My bad.

Scratch that. Never should post off of one frame.

Certainly...and that is just on the OPS. Ensembles, which are what matter at this range, are not like that.

Yea, I didn't that that was going to happen, but glad I was wrong.

This event kind of has a 12/2/19 vibe to it...

GEFS actually trended south, so I wouldn't worry about the OP...matches EPS and GEPS well. Tough to find such cross ensemble agreement/consistency at this range.

GFS is still a really big hit N of the pike, but really mod south of it.

Who cares if it doesn't catch up until near New Foundland

The last two runs were perfect...this one is more like 2021.

He is thinking of the 2013 March fire hose.