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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    35.8 currently on my station.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Later is favored for any SSW.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm pretty confident January won't look like that, but let's see.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    2008 was the best ENSO analog, as I have been saying...folks bailed on La Nina too quickly.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep...honestly is the best start to December since 2019.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I feel good about January...just speaking of the holiday period.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I actually hadn't posted that, but meant to. I would be alot more excited in January or February inside of I 495 and especially rt 128. I am screwed if winds are NE, as opposed to NNE. Get to like ASH and it may be okay.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, like I said...that set up a month or two later could work for the coast..
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just refeenced the NAO as a potential track modulator....had nothing to do with cold.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Signing, or trade...def. not 4+ inches.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I saw that...but I'm all set entertaining the notion of (or relying on) PV lobe infusuion for decent snowfall. Again, none of this skepticism is directed at John....no issue with the thread at all and is def. warranted.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Frustration sandwich between the weather and baseall team....each replete with blue-balls for several years now.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    "Full-throttle in January"...the big aqcuisition will be a limp dick snowfall with no baroclinicity.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    If we're really lucky, maybe a shot of Hubb Dave's yard with him and Juan Soto tobogganing through a field.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    "Snowstorms (Baseball players) are expensive".
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, the Xmas week potental to me is akin to a NESN article from the interest Kings...."We are really interested in snowing Xmas week"....."snow is in the mix"......"a wintry outcome is making a competeitive bid to get within 50 miles of the coast". Rest assured, the next and final update will be when you look out your window and see puddles and the only consolation is pictures of @powderfreak's Mansfield stake with a mistletoe on top.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was just looking at 00z. Yea, I have no issue with the longwave pattern...but good luck with the lack of antecedent airmass and SSTs near 50*. This is why I am saying the ceiling here is a rt 128 type of storm. That has real December 1996 vibes.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what I was just noticing...made some comments over in Tip's thread. This is going to be a tedious needle-threader....the ceiling is probably a theramal field a akin to last January, or early Feb 2021....the coast is going to struggle, regardless. This would be more doable for the coast a month or two from now.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    We could also just luck out given the placement of that ridge out west, despite the hostile polar fields....ensembles have that vibe....EPS and GEFS. Interesting to watch. Trough placement may make it tough to hug too much, despite the look up north.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    For all of the mocking of the NAO out of deference to the Pacific over the course of the last several years, this sequence is an illustration of the value of the NAO. That EURO OP output looks primed to bury upstate NY to me. Would be nice to lodge that PV a bit closer to Hudson Bay, as opposed to directly centered over Greeland...pretty hostile polar look there. The EPS is a little better. I realize OP runs are futile right now....just looking.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    That ridge is ideally placed out west.....only thing I don't love is a ridge also INVO 50/50....risks abound as far as track, but I understand the emphasis right now is on just sustaining a coherent storm signal. This storm today is precisely the type event that we usually get around xmas, so maybe somewhat of a different sequencing this year...we hope.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably was good N of pike and beyond rt 128.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    The Modoki index really isn't very important with a weak event.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe they could be?? Gonna have to wait and see? Hope and pray?
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    That won't last.
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